Real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 2.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate during the third quarter of 2016, according to an analysis of Bureau of Economic Analysis data released today by Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC). This follows a 1.4 percent increase during the second quarter and represents the tenth consecutive quarter of economic expansion.
Nonresidential fixed investment, a category closely aligned with construction and other forms of business investment, expanded at a 1.2 percent annualized rate during the third quarter after growing 1 percent during the second. Investment in structures led the way, increasing by 5.4 percent in the third quarter after falling 2.1 percent during the second. Investment in equipment fell 2.7 percent for the quarter, while investment in intellectual property products expanded 4 percent. Residential investment continued to fall, declining 6.2 percent in the third quarter after falling 7.7 percent during the second.
The following highlights emerged from today’s third quarter GDP release. All growth figures are presented as seasonally adjusted annualized rates:
- Personal consumption expenditures expanded 2.1 percent on an annualized basis during the third quarter of 2016 after growing 4.3 percent during the second quarter of 2016.
- Spending on goods rose 2.2 percent during the third quarter after expanding by 7.1 percent during the previous quarter.
- Real final sales of domestically produced output increased 2.3 percent in the third quarter after increasing 2.6 percent in the second.
- Federal government spending expanded 2.5 percent in the year’s third quarter after contracting during each of the prior two quarters.
- Nondefense government spending increased 3 percent during the quarter following an increase of 3.8 percent during the second.
- National defense spending grew by 2.1 percent during the third quarter after registering a 3.2 percent decline in the previous quarter.
- State and local government spending fell by 0.7 percent in the third quarter after falling 2.5 percent in the second quarter.
“The acceleration in real GDP growth was driven by a combination of factors, including an upturn in exports, a smaller decrease in state and local government spending and an upturn in federal government spending. One of the biggest impacts came from greater private inventory investment, likely in response to expectations for reasonably strong consumer spending. Growth in personal consumption expenditures was responsible for almost half of third quarter GDP growth. However, this build in inventories is likely to subtract from economic growth in future quarters, though not massively,” says ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu.
“Third quarter growth was solid, but future quarters may not be as good,” Basu says. “The economy will have to deal with a number of headwinds going forward, including a stronger dollar, building inflationary pressures and higher interest rates. Consumer spending growth will continue to lead the recovery. While this will help support construction spending in certain categories, including distribution centers, nonresidential investment in structures is likely to expand only slowly in early 2017.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Oct 14, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 14, 2020
Thailand's new Elephant Museum and the Art Gallery of New South Wales receives an expansion.
Market Data | Oct 13, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 13, 2020
Miami Beach Convention Center renovation completes and guidance offered for K-12 schools to support students with asthma.
Market Data | Oct 12, 2020
Majority of contractors fear long-term business implications of COVID-19, according to Construction Executive survey
While many contractors have not yet seen drastic impacts to their business, as construction was in many areas considered an “essential” service, the long-term implications are concerning.
Market Data | Oct 12, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 12, 2020
4 challenges of realizing BIM's value for an owner and Florida office property is designed for a post-Covid world.
Market Data | Oct 8, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 8, 2020
The first rendering of the National Medal of Honor Museum is unveiled and seven urgent changes needed to fix senior living.
Market Data | Oct 7, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 7, 2020
Water-filled windows' effect on energy and construction begins on PGA of America HQ.
Market Data | Oct 6, 2020
Construction sector adds 26,000 workers in September but nonresidential jobs stall
Many commercial firms experience project cancellations.
Market Data | Oct 6, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 6, 2020
Construction rises 1.4% in August while nonresidential construction spending falls slightly.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
Nonresidential construction spending falls slightly in August
Of the 16 nonresidential subcategories, nine were down on a monthly basis.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
Construction spending rises 1.4% in August as residential boom outweighs private nonresidential decline and flat public categories
Construction officials caution that demand for non-residential construction will continue to stagnate without new federal coronavirus recovery measures, including infrastructure and liability reform.
