National nonresidential construction spending declined 0.3% in July, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data recently released. Total nonresidential spending stood at $748.8 billion on a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate in July, an increase of 5.3% from the same time last year. Private nonresidential spending fell 1% in July, while public nonresidential spending expanded 0.7%.
“Construction spending dynamics have reversed almost completely during the past 12 to 18 months,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Earlier in the cycle, private construction expanded briskly, driven in part by abundantly available financing at very low interest rates. While private construction volumes continue to be elevated, they are no longer expanding at quite the same rate. For instance, construction spending on lodging and office space barely budged for the month, while commercial construction, such as fulfillment and shopping centers, fell 3.3%.
“By contrast, nonresidential construction segments associated with large public components, including conservation and development, education, highway and street, public safety, and sewage and waste disposal all experienced an uptick in spending in July,” said Basu. “Many states are now running budget surpluses for the first time in years, in part due to surging capital gains tax collections. One result is that more public projects are moving forward. As evidence, construction spending in the water supply category is up 29% on a year-over-year basis, conservation and development (e.g. flood control) by 24%, transportation by nearly 21%, public safety-related spending by 17% and sewage and waste disposal by 11%.
“The implication is that the economy’s strong performance is increasingly translating into infrastructure spending, even in the absence of a federal infrastructure package,” said Basu. “Given recent economic and financial market performance, there is every reason to believe that state and local government finances, though still fragile in many instances, will continue to improve. That strongly suggests public construction spending will continue to progress during the months ahead. In constrast, private construction spending growth is more likely to remain constrained for a number of reasons, including recent increases in private borrowing costs and concerns that segments in certain communities are now overbuilt or approaching overbuilt status.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Oct 6, 2020
Construction sector adds 26,000 workers in September but nonresidential jobs stall
Many commercial firms experience project cancellations.
Market Data | Oct 6, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 6, 2020
Construction rises 1.4% in August while nonresidential construction spending falls slightly.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
Nonresidential construction spending falls slightly in August
Of the 16 nonresidential subcategories, nine were down on a monthly basis.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
Construction spending rises 1.4% in August as residential boom outweighs private nonresidential decline and flat public categories
Construction officials caution that demand for non-residential construction will continue to stagnate without new federal coronavirus recovery measures, including infrastructure and liability reform.
Market Data | Oct 5, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 5, 2020
Zaha Hadid unveils 2 Murray Road and the AEC industry is weathering COVID-19 better than most.
Market Data | Oct 2, 2020
AEC industry is weathering COVID-19 better than most
Nearly one-third of firms have had layoffs, more than 90% have experienced project delays.
Market Data | Oct 2, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 2, 2020
BIG imagines how to live on the moon and smart buildings stand on good data.
Market Data | Oct 1, 2020
Two-thirds of metros shed construction jobs from August 2019 to August 2020
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land and Brockton-Bridgewater-Easton, Mass. have worst 12-month losses, while Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind. and Niles-Benton Harbor, Mich. top job gainers.
Market Data | Oct 1, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: October 1, 2020
David Adjaye to receive 2021 Royal Gold Medal for Architecture and SOM reimagines the former Cook County Hospital.
Market Data | Sep 30, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 30, 2020
Heatherwick Studio designs The Cove for San Francisco and Washington, D.C.'s first modular apartment building.