National nonresidential construction spending declined 1.8% in June, totaling $773.8 billion on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis—a 2.3% increase compared to the same time a year ago, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data published today. Public nonresidential spending fell 3.7% in June, but is up 6.4% year over year, while private nonresidential spending fell 0.3% on a monthly basis and is up 0.4% from June 2018.
Among the 16 nonresidential construction spending categories tracked by the Census Bureau, seven experienced increases in monthly spending, although only the conservation and development (+3.8%) and commercial (+1.3%) categories increased by more than 1%. While spending in several categories fell for the month, significant decreases in the publicly driven educational (-6.5%) and highway and street (-6.3%) categories accounted for nearly all of the monthly decline.
“Like the balance of the U.S. economy, nonresidential construction spending appears to be softening, albeit gradually,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Private nonresidential construction spending has been trending lower for several months, and segments like office and lodging are no longer the drivers of construction spending growth that they had been, likely due to growing concerns about market saturation.
“The dip in public construction may have been merely temporary, which is likely the case given the ongoing strength of state and local government finances.” said Basu. “And with the economy still adding substantial numbers of jobs, wages growing at or near a decade-high pace, consumers continuing to spend and property values remaining stable, local and state governments should continue to experience solid income, retail and real estate tax collections. All things being equal, that should help fuel infrastructure outlays, especially given still very low borrowing costs.
“While many observers continue to focus on issues such as trade disputes, high levels of corporate debt and asset prices that are susceptible to sharp declines, the U.S. construction industry’s most significant source of uncertainty may be the pending insolvency of the Highway Trust Fund,” said Basu. “That insolvency is now a mere two years away, and if policymakers fail to act expeditiously, state and local policymakers may choose to postpone certain projects given the rising uncertainty of federal funding. The highway/street and transportation categories are especially vulnerable to such dynamics.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Feb 21, 2020
Construction contractor confidence remains steady
70% of contractors expect their sales to increase over the first half of 2020.
Market Data | Feb 20, 2020
U.S. multifamily market gains despite seasonal lull
The economy’s steady growth buoys prospects for continued strong performance.
Market Data | Feb 19, 2020
Architecture billings continue growth into 2020
Demand for design services increases across all building sectors.
Market Data | Feb 5, 2020
Construction employment increases in 211 out of 358 metro areas from December 2018 to 2019
Dallas-Plano-Irving, Texas and Kansas City have largest gains; New York City and Fairbanks, Alaska lag the most as labor shortages likely kept firms in many areas from adding even more workers.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2020
Construction spending dips in December as nonresidential losses offset housing pickup
Homebuilding strengthens but infrastructure and other nonresidential spending fades in recent months, reversing pattern in early 2019.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2020
IMEG Corp. acquires Clark Engineering
Founded in 1938 in Minneapolis, Clark Engineering has an extensive history of public and private project experience.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2020
U.S. economy expands 2.1% in 4th quarter
Investment in structures contracts.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2020
US construction & real estate industry sees a drop of 30.4% in deal activity in December 2019
A total of 48 deals worth $505.11m were announced in December 2019.
Market Data | Jan 29, 2020
Navigant research report finds global wind capacity value is expected to increase tenfold over the next decade
Wind power is being developed in more countries as well as offshore and onshore.
Market Data | Jan 28, 2020
What eight leading economists predict for nonresidential construction in 2020 and 2021
Public safety, education, and healthcare highlight a market that is entering growth-slowdown mode, but no downturn is projected, according to AIA's latest Consensus Construction Forecast panel.