The war in Ukraine, global port congestion, and the persistent spread of COVID variants will conspire to raise prices on equipment and key building products by 7-9 percent this year, according to the general contractor Consigli’s latest market update, which it released a few days ago.
Authors Peter Capone and Jared Lachapelle, Consigli’s director of construction and vice president of preconstruction, respectively, wrote that while the nonresidential construction industry continues to be resilient, it can’t completely alleviate forces that are reducing or delaying the supply of raw materials and finished goods.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has reduced the supply of manufacturing materials such as aluminum and copper, and is putting a strain on production and delivery across Europe. Meanwhile shipping congestion “is showing little sign of improvement” worldwide, especially at ports in Asia.
Other factors contributing to rising construction prices include spikes in fuel costs, and wage increases that are jacking up labor costs. “Acquiring workforce, [in] the Northeast in particular, remains an area of concern,” the authors state. Union and non-union subcontractors “are booking up to capacity for 2022,” and are already focused on next year and beyond.
Electrical equipment and hardware, and roofing materials, are stalled in long lead times. As a result, price inflation for these products is expected to be double digit this year.
Consigli is also keeping an eye on a few things that could affect prices, such as contract negotiations with the International Longshoreman Warehouse Union that are scheduled for this July and will impact 22,000 workers at 79 ports.
The federal infrastructure bill, as it rolls out, will place more stress on an already tight labor market. Consigli notes that half of its larger subcontractors have secured 85 percent of their backlog for this year, and are “quickly filling” their projected backlog for 2023.
Related Stories
Market Data | Apr 29, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 29, 2020
A new Human performance Center and Construction employment declines in 99 metro areas.
Market Data | Apr 29, 2020
Construction employment declines in 99 metro areas in March from 2019
Industry officials call for new state and federal funding to add jobs.
Market Data | Apr 28, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 28, 2020
A virtual 'city-forest' to help solve population density challenges and planning for life in cities after the pandemic.
Market Data | Apr 27, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 27, 2020
Colleges begin building campus eSports arenas and PCL Construction rolls out portable coronavirus testing centers.
Market Data | Apr 24, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 24, 2020
Take a virtual tour of Frank Lloyd Wright's Robie House and Construction Contractor Confidence plummets.
Market Data | Apr 23, 2020
Construction Contractor Confidence plummets in February
As of February 2020, fewer than 30% of contractors expected their sales to increase over the next six months.
Market Data | Apr 23, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 23, 2020
The death of the department store and how to return to work when the time comes.
Market Data | Apr 22, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 22, 2020
Repurposed containers can be used as rapid response airborne infection isolation rooms and virtual site visits help control infection on project sites.
Market Data | Apr 21, 2020
ABC's Construction Backlog Indicator down in February
Backlog for firms working in the infrastructure segment rose by 1.3 months in February while backlog for commercial and institutional and heavy industrial firms declined by 0.6 months and 0.7 months, respectively.
Market Data | Apr 21, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 21, 2020
IoT system helps contractors keep their distance and the multifamily market flattens.