The deterioration in construction output growth across emerging markets has been worse than previously expected, particularly in the US and the Middle East. Therefore, the forecast for global construction output growth in 2019 has been revised down to 2.7%, which will be the slowest pace of growth in a decade, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.
GlobalData’s central forecast sees global construction output growth increase to 3.2% in 2020 and then stabilize at 3.4% over the remainder of the forecast period, which runs to 2023. According to the company’s latest report, ‘Global Construction Outlook to 2023 – Q3 2019 Update’, this is partly driven by a projected improvement in the global economy in 2020, which in turn relies on improvements in financial market sentiment and stabilization in some of the larger currently-troubled emerging markets.
Danny Richards, Lead Economist at GlobalData, comments: “Some major advanced economies have struggled to generate growth momentum, including the US, the UK and Australia. In China, where the authorities are stepping up investment in infrastructure to prevent a continued slowdown, growth will remain positive, contributing to a slight acceleration in growth in total output in the emerging markets.”
Richards continues: “Geopolitical risks are intensifying, which could potentially undermine investor confidence and disrupt capital flows in the early part of the forecast period. Risks to the overall forecast stem primarily from a possible escalation in the trade war between the US and China, as well as inflamed tensions between the US and Iran following the recent drone strikes on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil processing center, which were blamed on Iran.
“The emerging markets of South-East Asia will invest heavily in new infrastructure projects, supported by private investment, and this region will be the fastest growing, expanding by 6.4% between 2019 and 2023.”
Information based on GlobalData’s report: ‘Global Construction Outlook to 2023 – Q3 2019 Update.
Related Stories
Market Data | Feb 21, 2020
Construction contractor confidence remains steady
70% of contractors expect their sales to increase over the first half of 2020.
Market Data | Feb 20, 2020
U.S. multifamily market gains despite seasonal lull
The economy’s steady growth buoys prospects for continued strong performance.
Market Data | Feb 19, 2020
Architecture billings continue growth into 2020
Demand for design services increases across all building sectors.
Market Data | Feb 5, 2020
Construction employment increases in 211 out of 358 metro areas from December 2018 to 2019
Dallas-Plano-Irving, Texas and Kansas City have largest gains; New York City and Fairbanks, Alaska lag the most as labor shortages likely kept firms in many areas from adding even more workers.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2020
Construction spending dips in December as nonresidential losses offset housing pickup
Homebuilding strengthens but infrastructure and other nonresidential spending fades in recent months, reversing pattern in early 2019.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2020
IMEG Corp. acquires Clark Engineering
Founded in 1938 in Minneapolis, Clark Engineering has an extensive history of public and private project experience.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2020
U.S. economy expands 2.1% in 4th quarter
Investment in structures contracts.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2020
US construction & real estate industry sees a drop of 30.4% in deal activity in December 2019
A total of 48 deals worth $505.11m were announced in December 2019.
Market Data | Jan 29, 2020
Navigant research report finds global wind capacity value is expected to increase tenfold over the next decade
Wind power is being developed in more countries as well as offshore and onshore.
Market Data | Jan 28, 2020
What eight leading economists predict for nonresidential construction in 2020 and 2021
Public safety, education, and healthcare highlight a market that is entering growth-slowdown mode, but no downturn is projected, according to AIA's latest Consensus Construction Forecast panel.
