Following the announcement by the US Bureau of Statistics that construction spending fell by 2.1% in May from a month earlier:
Dariana Tani, Economist at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers her view on the situation:
“May’s construction spending data shows the ongoing weakness in the US construction industry amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, construction spending was driven down by a decline in spending on private construction projects offsetting an increase in spending on public projects.
“GlobalData expects the US construction industry to contract by -6.5% in 2020 and -2% in 2021, down from the previous growth forecast of 0.6% and 1.4% before the COVID-19 pandemic started. Sectors such as commercial, residential and industrial are anticipated to be the hardest hit amid the collapse in business and consumer confidence, while sectors such as institutional and infrastructure will also be affected although to a lesser extent.
“As Congress and the White House contemplate the next phase of yet another unprecedented government response to limit the economic impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, Democrats and President Donald Trump are increasingly raising the prospects of passing a multi-trillion dollar infrastructure plan that could generate millions of jobs and stimulate the economy and the construction industry. However, key risks remain. With the number of new COVID-19 cases surging across the country, as many states are reopening their economies, the construction industry is expected to continue to decline over the coming months.
“A second wave in the second half of 2020 and the potential increase of caseloads in underserved communities could put at risk the recovery of the labor market and increase the risk that the pandemic could result in long-lasting damage to the economy as new lockdown restrictions will have to be put in place again. Furthermore, heightening political uncertainty over the upcoming presidential election, lower oil prices, and financial volatility are other factors that could undermine confidence.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Aug 28, 2017
U.S. hotel construction pipeline is up 7% year-over-year
For the economy, the rate of growth may be low but it’s running on all cylinders.
Market Data | Aug 23, 2017
Architecture Billings Index growth moderates
“The July figures show the continuation of healthy trends in the construction sector of our economy,” said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker.
Architects | Aug 21, 2017
AIA: Architectural salaries exceed gains in the broader economy
AIA’s latest compensation report finds average compensation for staff positions up 2.8% from early 2015.
Market Data | Aug 20, 2017
Some suburban office markets are holding their own against corporate exodus to cities
An analysis of mortgage-backed loans suggests that demand remains relatively steady.
Market Data | Aug 17, 2017
Marcum Commercial Construction Index reports second quarter spending increase in commercial and office construction
Spending in all 12 of the remaining nonresidential construction subsectors retreated on both an annualized and monthly basis.
Industry Research | Aug 11, 2017
NCARB releases latest data on architectural education, licensure, and diversity
On average, becoming an architect takes 12.5 years—from the time a student enrolls in school to the moment they receive a license.
Market Data | Aug 4, 2017
U.S. grand total construction starts growth projection revised slightly downward
ConstructConnect’s quarterly report shows courthouses and sports stadiums to end 2017 with a flourish.
Market Data | Aug 2, 2017
Nonresidential Construction Spending falls in June, driven by public sector
June’s weak construction spending report can be largely attributed to the public sector.
Market Data | Jul 31, 2017
U.S. economic growth accelerates in second quarter; Nonresidential fixed investment maintains momentum
Nonresidential fixed investment, a category of GDP embodying nonresidential construction activity, expanded at a 5.2% seasonally adjusted annual rate.
Multifamily Housing | Jul 27, 2017
Apartment market index: Business conditions soften, but still solid
Despite some softness at the high end of the apartment market, demand for apartments will continue to be substantial for years to come, according to the National Multifamily Housing Council.
