Following the announcement by the US Bureau of Statistics that construction spending fell by 2.1% in May from a month earlier:
Dariana Tani, Economist at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers her view on the situation:
“May’s construction spending data shows the ongoing weakness in the US construction industry amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, construction spending was driven down by a decline in spending on private construction projects offsetting an increase in spending on public projects.
“GlobalData expects the US construction industry to contract by -6.5% in 2020 and -2% in 2021, down from the previous growth forecast of 0.6% and 1.4% before the COVID-19 pandemic started. Sectors such as commercial, residential and industrial are anticipated to be the hardest hit amid the collapse in business and consumer confidence, while sectors such as institutional and infrastructure will also be affected although to a lesser extent.
“As Congress and the White House contemplate the next phase of yet another unprecedented government response to limit the economic impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, Democrats and President Donald Trump are increasingly raising the prospects of passing a multi-trillion dollar infrastructure plan that could generate millions of jobs and stimulate the economy and the construction industry. However, key risks remain. With the number of new COVID-19 cases surging across the country, as many states are reopening their economies, the construction industry is expected to continue to decline over the coming months.
“A second wave in the second half of 2020 and the potential increase of caseloads in underserved communities could put at risk the recovery of the labor market and increase the risk that the pandemic could result in long-lasting damage to the economy as new lockdown restrictions will have to be put in place again. Furthermore, heightening political uncertainty over the upcoming presidential election, lower oil prices, and financial volatility are other factors that could undermine confidence.”
Related Stories
Industry Research | Nov 28, 2017
2018 outlook: Economists point to slowdown, AEC professionals say ‘no way’
Multifamily housing and senior living developments head the list of the hottest sectors heading into 2018, according a survey of 356 AEC professionals.
Market Data | Nov 27, 2017
Construction's contribution to U.S. economy highest in seven years
Thirty-seven states benefited from the rise in construction activity in their state, while 13 states experienced a reduction in activity.
Market Data | Nov 15, 2017
Architecture Billings bounce back
Business conditions remain uneven across regions.
Market Data | Nov 14, 2017
U.S. construction starts had three consecutive quarters of positive growth in 2017
ConstructConnect’s quarterly report shows the most significant annual growth in the civil engineering and residential sectors.
Market Data | Nov 3, 2017
New construction starts in 2018 to increase 3% to $765 billion: Dodge report
Dodge Outlook Report predicts deceleration but still growth, reflecting a mixed pattern by project type.
Market Data | Nov 2, 2017
Construction spending up in September; Down on a YOY basis
Nonresidential construction spending is down 2.9% on a year-over-year basis.
Market Data | Oct 19, 2017
Architecture Billings Index backslides slightly
Business conditions easing in the West.
Industry Research | Oct 3, 2017
Nonresidential construction spending stabilizes in August
Spending on nonresidential construction services is still down on a YOY basis.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2017
Architecture Billings Index continues growth streak
Design services remain in high demand across all regions and in all major sectors.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2017
How brand research delivers competitive advantage
Brand research is a process that firms can use to measure their reputation and visibility in the marketplace.