Associated Builders and Contractors reported today that its Construction Backlog Indicator inched up to 8.5 months in November from 8.4 months in October, according to an ABC member survey conducted Nov. 20 to Dec. 4. The reading is down 0.7 months from November 2022.
View ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index tables for November. View the full Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index data series.
Despite the monthly increase, backlog is currently 0.8 months lower than at July’s cyclical peak. The sharpest declines over that span occurred among contractors with more than $100 million in annual revenues, who collectively reported fewer than 10 months of backlog in November for the first time since the second quarter of 2018.
ABC’s Construction Confidence Index readings for sales and staffing levels increased in November, while the reading for profit margins fell. All three readings remain above the threshold of 50, indicating expectations for growth over the next six months.
“A growing number of contractors are reporting declines in backlog,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “The interest rate hikes implemented by the Federal Reserve appear to be making more of a mark on the economy. Not only has the cost of capital risen over the past 20+ months, but credit conditions are also tightening, rendering project financing even more challenging.
“The good news is that certain interest rates have begun to fall in anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts next year, perhaps as early as the first quarter,” said Basu. “Still, 2024 is poised to be weaker from a construction demand perspective for many firms, especially those that depend heavily on private developers. Those operating in public construction and/or industrial segments should meet with less resistance on average.”
![The average U.S. contractor has 8.5 months worth of construction work in the pipeline, as of November 2023](/sites/default/files/inline-images/The%20average%20U.S.%20contractor%20has%208.5%20months%20worth%20of%20construction%20work%20in%20the%20pipeline%2C%20as%20of%20November%202023%201.jpg)
![The average U.S. contractor has 8.5 months worth of construction work in the pipeline, as of November 2023](/sites/default/files/inline-images/The%20average%20U.S.%20contractor%20has%208.5%20months%20worth%20of%20construction%20work%20in%20the%20pipeline%2C%20as%20of%20November%202023%202.jpg)
Related Stories
Contractors | Nov 12, 2015
Construction will outpace worldwide GDP growth over the next 15 years
Three countries—the United States, China, and India—will account for nearly three-fifths of worldwide construction growth over the next 15 years, according to a new report from Global Construction Perspectives and Oxford Economics.
Contractors | Nov 5, 2015
Budget bill provision raises OSHA fines for first time in 25 years
Inflation-adjusted penalty hikes could go up as much as 80%.
Contractors | Nov 3, 2015
ABC, AIA & NAHB: Residential, nonresidential construction growth expected in 2016
Economists from the three trade associations discussed several indicators for sector performance in a joint web conference.
Contractors | Nov 2, 2015
ABC: September's nonresidential spending slip no cause for concern
Despite the monthly drop, September's year-over-year increase is largest in seven years. Seven of 16 nonresidential construction sectors saw spending increases.
Contractors | Oct 30, 2015
ABC: Economic growth stronger than headline GDP figure suggests
GDP expanded 1.5% during the third quarter while nonresidential fixed investment expanded by 2.1% during that period.
BIM and Information Technology | Oct 29, 2015
MIT develops ‘river of 3D pixels’ to assemble objects
The Kinetic Blocks can manipulate objects into shapes without human interference.
Contractors | Oct 28, 2015
Office construction costs highest in New York City, San Francisco, says CBRE
A CBRE report found that New York’s construction costs are more than $500 per sf. San Francisco isn’t too far behind.
Contractors | Oct 16, 2015
ABC report: Confidence rises during the first half of the year
In the first half, sales expectations and profit margin expectations rose while staffing level intentions dipped slightly.
Contractors | Oct 7, 2015
Construction equipment continues to be vulnerable to theft
Poor security and lax inventory control make jobsites sitting ducks for robbers, according to crime-data analysis by LoJack.
Office Buildings | Oct 5, 2015
Renderings revealed for Apple's second 'spaceship': a curvy, lush office complex in Sunnyvale
The project has been dubbed as another “spaceship,” referencing the nickname for the loop-shaped Apple Campus under construction in Cupertino.