The U.S. economy grew by 2.3% in 2017, while fixed investment increased at a annual rate of 7.9%, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) analysis of data released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.6% during the fourth quarter of 2017 after expanding at a 3.2% rate during the third quarter. Nonresidential fixed investment performed similarly to overall fixed investment in the fourth quarter by increasing at a 6.8% rate. This represents the third time in the past four quarters that nonresidential fixed investment increased by at least 6.7%.
The year-end figure for GDP growth of 2.3% is up from 1.5% in 2016 but down from the 2.9% figure posted in 2015. Nonresidential fixed investment increased 4.7% in 2017, its best year since increasing 6.9% in 2014. This followed a 0.6% contraction in 2016.
“Many will look at this report and conclude that consumer spending, the largest component of the economy, drove fourth quarter growth by expanding at a 3.8% annual rate,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Upon further inspection, however, the fourth quarter consumer spending missed its 3% expectation due to imports increasing at twice the rate of exports. This widening trade deficit subtracted 1.13 percentage points from fourth quarter GDP growth.
“The factors that have helped to accelerate economic growth in America remain in place, including a strengthening global economy, abundant consumer and business confidence, elevated liquidity flowing through the veins of the international financial system and deregulation,” said Basu. “Stakeholders should be aware that although many companies have announced big plans for stepped-up investment, staffing and compensation—due at least in part to the recently enacted tax cut—the plans have yet to fully manifest within the data. The implication is that the U.S. economy is set to roar in 2018.
“As always, contractors are warned to remain wary,” said Basu. “The combination of extraordinary confidence and capital can fuel excess financial leverage and spur asset price bubbles. The implication is that as contractors remain busy, there should be an ongoing stockpiling of defensive cash. That recommendation will be difficult for many contractors to implement, however, with labor shortages and materials costs rising more rapidly and slender profit margins in many construction segments.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Aug 2, 2022
Nonresidential construction spending falls 0.5% in June, says ABC
National nonresidential construction spending was down by 0.5% in June, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published today by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Market Data | Jul 28, 2022
The latest Beck Group report sees earlier project collaboration as one way out of the inflation/supply chain malaise
In the first six months of 2022, quarter-to-quarter inflation for construction materials showed signs of easing, but only slightly.
Hotel Facilities | Jul 28, 2022
As travel returns, U.S. hotel construction pipeline growth follows
According to the recently released United States Construction Pipeline Trend Report from Lodging Econometrics (LE), the total U.S. construction pipeline stands at 5,220 projects/621,268 rooms at the close of 2022’s second quarter, up 9% Year-Over-Year (YOY) by projects and 4% YOY by rooms.
Codes and Standards | Jul 22, 2022
Hurricane-resistant construction may be greatly undervalued
New research led by an MIT graduate student at the school’s Concrete Sustainability Hub suggests that the value of buildings constructed to resist wind damage in hurricanes may be significantly underestimated.
Market Data | Jul 21, 2022
Architecture Billings Index continues to stabilize but remains healthy
Architecture firms reported increasing demand for design services in June, according to a new report today from The American Institute of Architects (AIA).
Market Data | Jul 21, 2022
Despite deteriorating economic conditions, nonresidential construction spending projected to increase through 2023
Construction spending on buildings is projected to increase just over nine percent this year and another six percent in 2023, according to a new report from the American Institute of Architects (AIA).
Building Team | Jul 18, 2022
Understanding the growing design-build market
FMI’s new analysis of the design-build market forecast for the next fives years shows that this delivery method will continue to grow, despite challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Market Data | Jul 1, 2022
Nonresidential construction spending slightly dips in May, says ABC
National nonresidential construction spending was down by 0.6% in May, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published today by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Market Data | Jun 30, 2022
Yardi Matrix releases new national rent growth forecast
Rents in most American cities continue to rise slightly each month, but are not duplicating the rapid escalation rates exhibited in 2021.
Market Data | Jun 22, 2022
Architecture Billings Index slows but remains strong
Architecture firms reported increasing demand for design services in May, according to a new report today from The American Institute of Architects (AIA).
