A new report by Yardi® Matrix indicates that multifamily deliveries might outpace demand in some key U.S. housing markets.
Yardi Matrix conducted a study to determine which areas might be at risk of oversupply or undersupply over the next five years. The research revealed that deliveries in 2016 and 2017 helped compensate for the construction shortage in the wake of the Great Recession.
"Most of the metros that are at short-term risk of oversupply have strong economies and healthy multifamily demand, so units coming online should be absorbed by growing populations," the report concludes.
Markets and submarkets with outsize development activity, however, "can expect volatility" that will give rise to higher vacancy rates and stagnant rent growth. Achieving market equilibrium going forward will require developers to "intelligently calibrate the amount and location of new projects" to accommodate finite demand.
Yardi Matrix identified Denver, Seattle, Dallas, Phoenix, Miami and Charlotte, N.C., as key markets at risk of oversupply over the next five years. Demand is projected to exceed supply in Los Angeles, California's Inland Empire, Houston, New York, San Diego and Sacramento, Calif.
Read "U.S. Multifamily Supply and Demand Forecasts by Metro" to learn more about homeownership, population shifts, social trends and other factors affecting the multifamily market.
Related Stories
Market Data | Aug 10, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 10, 2020
Private student housing owners reap the benefits as campus housing de-densifies and race for COVID vaccine boosts real estate in life sciences hubs.
Market Data | Aug 7, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 7, 2020
BD+C's 2020 Color Trends Report and HMC releases COVID-19 Campus Reboot Guide for Prek-12 schools.
Market Data | Aug 6, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 6, 2020
Oklahoma State's new North Academic Building and can smart buildings outsmart coronavirus?
Market Data | Aug 5, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 5, 2020
San Jose's new tallest tower and Virginia is the first state to adopt COVID-19 worker safety rules.
Market Data | Aug 4, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 4, 2020
Construction spending decreases for fourth consecutive month and 100% affordable housing development breaks ground in Mountain View.
Market Data | Aug 3, 2020
Construction spending decreases for fourth consecutive month in June
Association officials warn further contraction is likely unless federal government enacts prompt, major investment in infrastructure as state and local governments face deficits.
Market Data | Aug 3, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 3, 2020
The future is a number game for retail and restaurants and 5 reasons universities are renovating student housing.
Market Data | Jul 31, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 31, 2020
Vegas's newest resort and casino is packed with contactless technology and Mariott, Hilton, and IHG dominate the U.S. hotel construction pipeline.
Market Data | Jul 30, 2020
Marriott, Hilton, and IHG continue to dominate the U.S. hotel construction pipeline at Q2’20 close
Hilton’s Home2 Suites and IHG’s Holiday Inn Express continue to be the most prominent brands in the U.S. pipeline.
Market Data | Jul 30, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 30, 2020
Millennium Tower finally has a fix and construction costs decrease for the first time in 10 years.