According to the 2023 year-end U.S. Construction Pipeline Trend Report from Lodging Econometrics (LE), the pipeline stands at 5,964 projects/693,963 rooms. The pipeline hit record project counts at Q4, with the addition of 260 hotel construction projects and 21,287 rooms over last quarter, and a 9% increase by projects and a 7% increase by rooms year-over-year (YOY). The previous project count high was Q2 2008 with 5,883 projects.
At the close of 2023’s fourth quarter, there are 1,118 projects/141,768 rooms under construction, up 11% by projects and 5% by rooms YOY. Hotel projects scheduled to start within the next 12 months stand at 2,259 projects/261,582 rooms, up 9% by projects and 11% by rooms YOY. Projects and rooms in the early planning stage hit all-time highs at Q4, standing at 2,587 projects/290,613 rooms, and up 9% by projects and 4% by rooms YOY.
RELATED CONTENT:
Notably, the number of combined hotel renovations and brand conversion projects in the U.S. continued its upward growth trend through the end of 2023, closing the year with record project and room counts of 2,028 projects/303,330 rooms.
The upper midscale segment has the highest project count of all chain scales in the total U.S. hotel construction pipeline at the Q4 close, reaching an all-time high of 2,245 projects/218,112 rooms. The second largest is the upscale category, which has 1,445 projects/177,999 rooms. Together, these two chain scales comprise 62% of all projects in the country’s total pipeline at the Q4 close.
Rate cuts point to positive but cautious outlook for hotel construction
The recent Federal Reserve signaling of three 25-basis-point interest rate cuts in 2024 and additional cuts in 2025 sends a positive but cautious outlook for U.S. hotel development in the year ahead. With the anticipation of multiple rate cuts in 2024, hotel development seems poised for constructive growth well beyond 2024. The primary reason lies in less expensive borrowing costs, providing long-awaited relief on interest rates. This is expected to have a favorable impact not only on new construction but acquisitions, renovations, and conversions as well.
Despite the positive outlook, lenders continue to be vigilant, and many investors continue with a “wait and see” attitude; holding out hope for potentially deeper rate cuts. We expect this cautious, yet optimistic approach will continue through 2024, however, we expect to see investors re-engaging, which, as we can tell by the pipeline numbers and record-high project counts, has already begun. We expect lending volume to increase slowly in the first half of 2024 and then gradually pick up the pace in the second half of the year.
In 2023, the U.S. had 474 new hotels/60,436 rooms open, a 1.1% growth rate in new supply, bringing the total U.S. census to 59,636 hotels/5,655,356 rooms. In 2024, LE analysts expect the existing supply of hotels in the U.S. to increase 1.4% with the opening of 677 new hotels and 79,518 rooms. The LE forecast for new hotel openings shows this growth trajectory will continue through 2025, with another 799 new hotels/85,654 rooms forecast to open by year-end 2025 and further growth anticipated for 2026 and beyond.
Related Stories
| Aug 11, 2010
Philadelphia cancer center seeks LEED certification
The New York office of Thornton Tomasetti provided structural engineering services for the Ruth and Raymond Perelman Center for Advanced Medicine in Philadelphia, a $232 million medical research center and advanced treatment center for cancer and cardiovascular disease. Designed by a joint venture of Perkins Eastman Architects and Rafael Vinõly Architects, the 340,000-sf facility will hous...
| Aug 11, 2010
High-level NICU opens in Washington, D.C.
Design to the highest distinction available by the American Academy of Pediatrics, the new Level IIIC neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) at Children's National Medical Center in Washington D.C., is equipped to care for the sickest premature babies, including those that require open-heart surgery. The 54-bed facility, designed by Karlsberger with KLMK Group as space planner, is four times large...
| Aug 11, 2010
RMJM unveils design details for $1B green development in Turkey
RMJM has unveiled the design for the $1 billion Varyap Meridian development it is master planning in Istanbul, Turkey's Atasehir district, a new residential and business district. Set on a highly visible site that features panoramic views stretching from the Bosporus Strait in the west to the Sea of Marmara to the south, the 372,000-square-meter development includes a 60-story tower, 1,500 resi...
| Aug 11, 2010
San Bernardino health center doubles in size
Temecula, Calif.-based EDGE was awarded the contract for California State University San Bernardino's health center renovation and expansion. The two-phase, $4 million project was designed by RSK Associates, San Francisco, and includes an 11,000-sf, tilt-up concrete expansion—which doubles the size of the facility—and site and infrastructure work.
| Aug 11, 2010
'Feebate' program to reward green buildings in Portland, Ore.
Officials in Portland, Ore., have proposed a green building incentive program that would be the first of its kind in the U.S. Under the program, new commercial buildings, 20,000 sf or larger, that meet Oregon's state building code would be assessed a fee by the city of up to $3.46/sf. The fee would be waived for buildings that achieve LEED Silver certification from the U.
| Aug 11, 2010
Five-star resort breaks ground on the Black Sea
Construction work has commenced on a five-star resort and leisure destination along the Black Sea coast in Batumi, Georgia. The RTKL-designed resort consists of two towers rising 86 and 58 meters over a two-story podium. The larger tower contains 250 guestrooms and suites while the smaller tower offers 78 residential apartments.
| Aug 11, 2010
Outdated office tower becomes Nashville's newest boutique hotel
A 1960s office tower in Nashville, Tenn., has been converted into a 248-room, four-star boutique hotel. Designed by Earl Swensson Associates, with PowerStrip Studio as interior designer, the newly converted Hutton Hotel features 54 suites, two penthouse apartments, 13,600 sf of meeting space, and seven "cardio" rooms.
| Aug 11, 2010
New hospital expands Idaho healthcare options
Ascension Group Architects, Arlington, Texas, is designing a $150 million replacement hospital for Portneuf Medical Center in Pocatello, Idaho. An existing facility will be renovated as part of the project. The new six-story, 320-000-sf complex will house 187 beds, along with an intensive care unit, a cardiovascular care unit, pediatrics, psychiatry, surgical suites, rehabilitation clinic, and ...
| Aug 11, 2010
Aloft hotel opens at Washington National Harbor
A partnership of five developers, including the John Hardy Group and Peterson Companies, have completed a 190-room aloft hotel at Washington National Harbor, a mixed-use retail/entertainment development in Oxon Hill, Md., near Washington, D.C. Designed in conjunction with David Rockwell and the Rockwell Group, the aloft prototype offers atmospheric public spaces designed to draw guests from the...