The U.S. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2019, despite investment in structures declining at an annualized rate of 10.1%, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Investment in structures contracted for three consecutive quarters and declined 4.4% during 2019.
In 2019, real GDP expanded by 2.3%, which was slower than the 2.9% rate of growth observed in 2018. Investment in structures contracted 4.4% in 2019 after expanding by 4.1% in 2018.
“Last year will be remembered as decent but unspectacular for the U.S. economy,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Strong consumer spending, historically low unemployment, surging asset prices and healthy backlog levels, according to ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator, were offset by soft business investment, flattening levels of nonresidential construction and soaring national debt. In addition, key segments of the economy, including manufacturing and agriculture, were particularly weak.
“But 2019 tells us little about 2020 dynamics,” said Basu. “Coming into last year, many expected interest rates and the general cost of capital to rise. Instead, interest rates dipped, creating an improved environment for purchasers of construction services. Last year was also shrouded by fears of worsening trade wars, but with the ratification of the USMCA and the attainment of a first phase trade deal with China, the level of uncertainty has abated. Through the first month of 2020, this has translated into rising stock prices, which should induce greater business investment.
“This year’s presidential election may cause some purchasers of construction services to adopt a wait-and-see attitude,” said Basu. “Contractors are currently upbeat about their prospects over the next two quarters, according to ABC’s Construction Confidence Index. However, given contracting levels of investment in structures, it is unclear if that will persist through the end of 2020.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Dec 5, 2021
Nonresidential construction spending increases nearly 1% in October
Spending was up on a monthly basis in 13 of the 16 nonresidential subcategories.
Market Data | Nov 30, 2021
Two-thirds of metro areas add construction jobs from October 2020 to October 2021
The pandemic and supply chain woes may limit gains.
Market Data | Nov 22, 2021
Only 16 states and D.C. added construction jobs since the pandemic began
Texas, Wyoming have worst job losses since February 2020, while Utah, South Dakota add the most.
Market Data | Nov 10, 2021
Construction input prices see largest monthly increase since June
Construction input prices are 21.1% higher than in October 2020.
Market Data | Nov 9, 2021
Continued increases in construction materials prices starting to drive up price of construction projects
Supply chain and labor woes continue.
Market Data | Nov 5, 2021
Construction firms add 44,000 jobs in October
Gain occurs even as firms struggle with supply chain challenges.
Market Data | Nov 3, 2021
One-fifth of metro areas lost construction jobs between September 2020 and 2021
Beaumont-Port Arthur, Texas and Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade Calif. top lists of gainers.
Market Data | Nov 2, 2021
Construction spending slumps in September
A drop in residential work projects adds to ongoing downturn in private and public nonresidential.
Hotel Facilities | Oct 28, 2021
Marriott leads with the largest U.S. hotel construction pipeline at Q3 2021 close
In the third quarter alone, Marriott opened 60 new hotels/7,882 rooms accounting for 30% of all new hotel rooms that opened in the U.S.
Hotel Facilities | Oct 28, 2021
At the end of Q3 2021, Dallas tops the U.S. hotel construction pipeline
The top 25 U.S. markets account for 33% of all pipeline projects and 37% of all rooms in the U.S. hotel construction pipeline.
