The Trump Administration’s plans for infrastructure investment, regulatory reform, and tax relief have ignited a burst of enthusiasm among U.S. engineering firm leaders, propelling the American Council of Engineering Companies’ Engineering Business Index (EBI) to its largest ever quarterly increase.
The 4th Quarter 2016 (Q4/2016) EBI surged 5.1 points to 66.5, up from the 61.4 score of Q3/2016. The previous largest increase was 1.5 points between the Q1/2014 and Q2/2014 surveys. Any score above 50 signifies that the market is growing The EBI is a leading indicator of America’s economic health based on the business performance and projections of engineering firms responsible for developing the nation’s transportation, water, energy, and industrial infrastructure. The Q4/2016 survey of 317 engineering firm leaders was conducted November 31 to December 20.
Survey results show firm leader market expectations for one year from today rose a hefty 8.8 points to 72.1, the largest quarter-over-quarter increase since the EBI’s inception in January 2014. Expectations for both short- and long-term profitability also climbed. Firm leader optimism for improved profitability over the next six months rose 3.6 points to 69.0; increased to 72.9 for one year from now; and climbed 2.9 points to 70.5 for three years from now.
“We finally have a president who understands business!” says one respondent. “We’re looking forward to some significant tax relief with the new Administration,” says another.
The boost in firm leader optimism extends across almost the entire engineering marketplace. In public markets, transportation showed the strongest increase, up an eye-catching 9.5 points to 73.7.
All other public market sectors rose: Water and Wastewater (up 7.5, to 70.5), Education (up 3.2 to 58.2) Health Care (up 0.3, to 56.1), and Environmental (up 1.1 to 55.4). A new public sector category, Buildings, debuted at 65.2. Among the private client markets, firm leaders were most bullish about the Industrial/Manufacturing sector, which leaped up 12.5 points to 70.7. Four key private sector markets also climbed: Energy and Power (up 8.8, to 69.2), Land Development (up 8.2, to 68.4.), Buildings (up 4.1 to 67.0), and Education (up 5.2, to 58.5).
For the complete Quarter 4, 2016 Engineering Business Index, go to www.acec.org.
Related Stories
Market Data | Jan 18, 2017
Architecture Billings Index ends year on positive note
Architecture firms close 2016 with the strongest performance of the year.
Market Data | Jan 12, 2017
73% of construction firms plan to expand their payrolls in 2017
However, many firms remain worried about the availability of qualified workers.
Market Data | Jan 5, 2017
Nonresidential spending thrives in strong November spending report
Many construction firms have reported that they remain busy but have become concerned that work could dry up in certain markets in 2017 or 2018, says Anirban Basu, ABC Chief Economist.
Market Data | Dec 21, 2016
Architecture Billings Index up slightly in November
New design contracts also return to positive levels, signifying future growth in construction activity.
Market Data | Dec 21, 2016
Will housing adjust to an aging population?
New Joint Center report projects 66% increase in senior heads of households by 2035.
Market Data | Dec 13, 2016
ABC predicts modest growth for 2017 nonresidential construction sector; warns of vulnerability for contractor
“The U.S. economy continues to expand amid a weak global economy and, despite risks to the construction industry, nonresidential spending should expand 3.5 percent in 2017,” says ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu.
Market Data | Dec 2, 2016
Nonresidential construction spending gains momentum
Nonresidential spending is now 2.6 percent higher than at the same time one year ago.
Market Data | Nov 30, 2016
Marcum Commercial Construction Index reports industry outlook has shifted; more change expected
Overall nonresidential construction spending in September totaled $690.5 billion, down a slight 0.7 percent from a year earlier.
Industry Research | Nov 30, 2016
Multifamily millennials: Here is what millennial renters want in 2017
It’s all about technology and convenience when it comes to the things millennial renters value most in a multifamily facility.
Market Data | Nov 29, 2016
It’s not just traditional infrastructure that requires investment
A national survey finds strong support for essential community buildings.
