Senior living construction poised for steady recovery

Senior housing demand, as measured by the change in occupied units, continued to outpace new supply in the third quarter, according to NIC MAP Vision.

It was the ninth consecutive quarter of growth with a net absorption gain. On the supply side, construction starts continued to be limited compared with pre-pandemic levels. During the four-quarter period ending in the third quarter of 2023, senior housing starts were less than half of the starts reported during the four quarters of 2019.  

“The senior housing market appears well-positioned for a steady and ongoing recovery, with occupancy levels expected to reach/exceed pre-pandemic levels in 2024, barring unforeseen challenges,” NIC MAP Vision says. “This optimistic outlook is underpinned by the robust demand, limited supply growth, and the strong absorption-to-inventory velocity ratio observed in the market.

“One notable and positive shift brought about by the pandemic is the increased recognition of the value proposition that senior housing offers. This includes room and board, security, socialization, engagement, care coordination, and lifestyle. Indeed, the industry is gaining a heightened level of recognition, with more adult children and their aging parents appreciating the benefits a senior housing setting provides.”