The office vacancy rate plunged by 0.9% to 18.4% during the spring, and rental rates fell to levels more than 7% below those seen last year, according to BD+C Economist Jim Haughey. A number of large office markets, such as New York and San Francisco, saw vacancy levels reach 20%. Overall, net space rentals fell during the spring in every major office market except Pittsburgh.
Developers responded quickly to reduced profit prospects in the office market. Office construction spending expanded through September 2008 but has since declined 16.4% through June. Office project starts declined slowly in early 2009 and then dropped sharply in the last two months, with starts for June-July more than 50% below the average for the previous 18 months. These slow starts shrink the pipeline of work under way and assure a further 6% drop in monthly jobsite spending by next spring.
The 2009-10 office recession will be relatively mild compared to the recession earlier this decade when construction spending dropped 47% over 27 months. This time the expected decline is 22% over 19 months. Recession declines are approximately proportional to the rise in the preceding expansion period. The 2004-08 expansion in office construction was shorter and smaller than the overheated expansion that preceded the previous recession.
The good news is that three market niches show promise of relatively slight declines over the next year. Government office construction, which has so far fared worse than private development, is likely to reverse course when stimulus-funded buildings get started next year. Financial offices, a relatively small niche, appears to be past the worst of its recession, and job site spending has been stable in recent months after a 20% drop last year as a result of forced mergers by the Federal Reserve Bank and the FDIC. Lastly, office renovation projects show promise because they typically decline much less in a recession than does new office construction.
Related Stories
| Mar 7, 2012
Firestone iPad app offers touch technology
Free app provides a preview of Firestone’s Roots to Rooftop Building Envelope Solution with an overview of all the products from ground and stormwater management solutions, to complete wall panel and commercial roofing system applications.
| Mar 7, 2012
LEO A DALY opens new office in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Jay N. Kline, Regional Manager – Saudi Arabia, to lead new office.
| Mar 7, 2012
Turner appointed Batson-Cook CFO and treasurer
Cecil G. Hood to continue in advisory role.
| Mar 7, 2012
Thornton Tomasetti names Dowdall VP of Kansas City office
Dowdall will be responsible for supporting the Property Loss Consulting, Building Performance and Building Sustainability practices nationally.
| Mar 7, 2012
LEO A DALY selected to design Minnesota Fallen Firefighters Memorial
The bronze, figurative sculpture of a firefighter rescuing a child, which is currently on display at the Minneapolis/St. Paul International Airport, is lit by natural light through a circular void in the monolith.
| Mar 7, 2012
Houlihan Lokey adds Steffen to Industrials Group
Steffen bolsters group with experience in the building materials and rorest product sectors.
| Mar 6, 2012
Country’s first Green House home for veterans completed
Residences at VA Danville to provide community-centered housing for military veterans.
| Mar 6, 2012
BLT Architects promotes two to associate
Architect Nicole Dress and interior designer Jessica Moser acknowledged for excellence.
| Mar 6, 2012
Joliet Junior College achieves LEED Gold
With construction managed by Gilbane Building Company, Joliet Junior College’s Facility Services Building combines high-performance technologies with sustainable materials to meet aggressive energy efficiency goals.