The office vacancy rate plunged by 0.9% to 18.4% during the spring, and rental rates fell to levels more than 7% below those seen last year, according to BD+C Economist Jim Haughey. A number of large office markets, such as New York and San Francisco, saw vacancy levels reach 20%. Overall, net space rentals fell during the spring in every major office market except Pittsburgh.
Developers responded quickly to reduced profit prospects in the office market. Office construction spending expanded through September 2008 but has since declined 16.4% through June. Office project starts declined slowly in early 2009 and then dropped sharply in the last two months, with starts for June-July more than 50% below the average for the previous 18 months. These slow starts shrink the pipeline of work under way and assure a further 6% drop in monthly jobsite spending by next spring.
The 2009-10 office recession will be relatively mild compared to the recession earlier this decade when construction spending dropped 47% over 27 months. This time the expected decline is 22% over 19 months. Recession declines are approximately proportional to the rise in the preceding expansion period. The 2004-08 expansion in office construction was shorter and smaller than the overheated expansion that preceded the previous recession.
The good news is that three market niches show promise of relatively slight declines over the next year. Government office construction, which has so far fared worse than private development, is likely to reverse course when stimulus-funded buildings get started next year. Financial offices, a relatively small niche, appears to be past the worst of its recession, and job site spending has been stable in recent months after a 20% drop last year as a result of forced mergers by the Federal Reserve Bank and the FDIC. Lastly, office renovation projects show promise because they typically decline much less in a recession than does new office construction.
Related Stories
| May 23, 2012
New hospitals invest in data centers to manage growth in patient info
Silver Cross became one of the first hospitals to install patient tracking software so families know where a patient is at all times. New communication equipment supports wireless voice and data networks throughout the hospital, providing access to patients and their families while freeing clinicians to use phones and computers where needed instead of based on location.
| May 22, 2012
Batson-Cook names Partin VP of Business Development
Partin joins general contractor from Georgia Hospital Association.
| May 22, 2012
Casaccio Architects and GYA Architects join to form Casaccio Yu Architects
Architects Lee A. Casaccio, AIA, LEED AP, and George Yu, AIA, share leadership of the new firm.
| May 22, 2012
O’Connell Robertson acquires Mitchell Design Consultancy
Mary Ann A. Mitchell, AIA, IIDA, MDC principal and founder, joins O’Connell Robertson as part of the acquisition.
| May 21, 2012
$61,000 awarded to students in Cleveland’s ACE Mentor Program
Mayor Frank G. Jackson gives keynote address at scholarship event for 80 Cleveland Metropolitan School District students involved in the ACE Mentor Program, which provides guidance and assistance for students interested in careers in the integrated construction industry.
| May 21, 2012
Wayne, Pa.'s Radnor Middle School wins national green award
Radnor Middle School among the most sustainable schools in the U.S.
| May 16, 2012
AIA issues guide to IGCC
Getting the IgCC adopted in all 50 states and in jurisdictions across the country is the primary mission of the ICC, which published the code in March.
| May 16, 2012
Architecture Billings Index reverts to negative territory
Decline is possibly a brief pause from unusually strong winter activity.
| May 16, 2012
AEG releases 3D video of L.A.'s Farmers Field
The Los Angeles Convention Center footage depicts the new convention center hall spaces, including a new lobby above Pico Boulevard, pre-function space, and what will be the largest multi-purpose ballroom in Los Angeles.
| May 16, 2012
Balfour Beatty Construction taps Kiger as VP of operations
Kiger will manage current relationships and pursue other strategic clients, including select healthcare clients and strategic project pursuits in the Central Tennessee region.
