Construction spending is projected to grow through 2019, according to a new consensus forecast from The American Institute of Architects (AIA).
Spending on nonresidential buildings nationally increased only modestly last year, barely outpacing inflation in building costs. Halfway through the seventh year of continuous growth for the cyclical construction industry, 2018 might have looked to be the year that the industry would enter another recession. However, when polled at the beginning of this year, the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast Panel—consisting of leading economic forecasters— instead saw an acceleration in activity, projecting 4.0 percent growth in 2018 and a nearly equal 3.9 percent in 2019.
See Also: U.S. multifamily rents reach new heights in July
“At the halfway point of the year, this panel is even more optimistic,” said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, Hon. AIA, PhD. “Their forecasts have been marked up to 4.7 percent growth in spending for this year and an additional 4.0 percent in 2019. If these projections materialize, by the end of next year the industry will have seen nine years of consecutive growth, and total spending on nonresidential buildings will be 5 percent greater—ignoring inflationary adjustments—than the last market peak of 2008.”
The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast panel is comprised of Dodge Data & Analytics, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, IHS Economics, Moody’s Economy.com, ConstructConnect, Associated Builders & Contractors, and FMI. The forecast has been conducted for 18 years.
Learn more about the Consensus Construction Forecast online.
Related Stories
Market Data | Jun 3, 2019
4.1% annual growth in office asking rents above five-year compound annual growth rate
Market has experienced no change in office vacancy rates in three quarters.
Market Data | May 30, 2019
Construction employment increases in 250 out of 358 metros from April 2018 to April 2019
Demand for work is outpacing the supply of workers.
Market Data | May 24, 2019
Construction contractors confidence remains high in March
More than 70% of contractors expect to increase staffing levels over the next six months.
Market Data | May 22, 2019
Slight rebound for architecture billings in April
AIA’s ABI score for April showed a small increase in design services at 50.5 in April.
Market Data | May 9, 2019
The U.S. hotel construction pipeline continues to grow in the first quarter as the economy shows surprising strength
Projects currently under construction stand at 1,709 projects/227,924 rooms.
Market Data | May 9, 2019
Construction input prices continue to rise
Nonresidential input prices rose 0.9% compared to March and are up 2.8% on an annual basis.
Market Data | May 7, 2019
Construction costs in major metros continued to climb last year
Latest Rider Levett Bucknall report estimates rise at more than double the rate of 2018 Growth Domestic Product.
Market Data | Apr 29, 2019
U.S. economic growth crosses 3% threshold to begin the year
Growth was fueled by myriad factors, including personal consumption expenditures, private inventory investment, surprisingly rapid growth in exports, state and local government spending and intellectual property.
Market Data | Apr 18, 2019
ABC report: 'Confidence seems to be making a comeback in America'
The Construction Confidence Index remained strong in February, according to the Associated Builders and Contractors.
Market Data | Apr 16, 2019
ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator rebounds in February
ABC's Construction Backlog Indicator expanded to 8.8 months in February 2019.