Construction spending is projected to grow through 2019, according to a new consensus forecast from The American Institute of Architects (AIA).
Spending on nonresidential buildings nationally increased only modestly last year, barely outpacing inflation in building costs. Halfway through the seventh year of continuous growth for the cyclical construction industry, 2018 might have looked to be the year that the industry would enter another recession. However, when polled at the beginning of this year, the AIA Consensus Construction Forecast Panel—consisting of leading economic forecasters— instead saw an acceleration in activity, projecting 4.0 percent growth in 2018 and a nearly equal 3.9 percent in 2019.
See Also: U.S. multifamily rents reach new heights in July
“At the halfway point of the year, this panel is even more optimistic,” said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, Hon. AIA, PhD. “Their forecasts have been marked up to 4.7 percent growth in spending for this year and an additional 4.0 percent in 2019. If these projections materialize, by the end of next year the industry will have seen nine years of consecutive growth, and total spending on nonresidential buildings will be 5 percent greater—ignoring inflationary adjustments—than the last market peak of 2008.”
The AIA Consensus Construction Forecast panel is comprised of Dodge Data & Analytics, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, IHS Economics, Moody’s Economy.com, ConstructConnect, Associated Builders & Contractors, and FMI. The forecast has been conducted for 18 years.
Learn more about the Consensus Construction Forecast online.
Related Stories
Market Data | May 8, 2020
Construction industry loses 975,000 jobs in April as new association survey shows deteriorating demand for construction projects
Association partner Procore also releases near real-time construction data measuring impacts of coronavirus as association calls for new measures.
Market Data | May 8, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 8, 2020
The death of the office and Colorado's first multifamily project to receive WELL Precertification.
Market Data | May 7, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 7, 2020
5 memory care communities with a strong sense of mission and making jobsites safer in the COVID-19 world.
Market Data | May 6, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 6, 2020
5 questions engineers will ask after COVID-19 and coronavirus threatens push for denser housing.
Market Data | May 5, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 5, 2020
A new temporary hospital pops up in N.J., and apartment firms' reactivation plans begin to take shape.
Market Data | May 4, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 4, 2020
How working from home is influencing design and is this the end of the open office?
Market Data | May 4, 2020
The Los Angeles market continue to lead the U.S. hotel construction pipeline at the close of the first quarter of 2020
Nationally, under construction project counts hit a new all-time high with 1,819 projects with 243,100 rooms.
Market Data | May 1, 2020
Nonresidential construction spending declines in March as pandemic halts projects
Group warns loan threats are hurting relief program.
Market Data | May 1, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 1, 2020
DLR Group completes LA Memorial Coliseum renovation and over 50% of department stores in malls predicted to close by 2021.
Market Data | Apr 30, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: April 30, 2020
College programs help prepare students for careers in the construction industry and a national movement to cancel May rent takes shape.