Pending rules in the White House pipeline would position a re-elected President Barack Obama to outpace his predecessor with second-term rulemaking, according to a review of regulatory filings.
Obama has delayed until after the election decisions on regulating ozone levels and rearview cameras for cars. Rules still need to be written to carry out much of Obama’s signature first-term domestic policy initiatives, the health-care overhaul and the Dodd-Frank law regulating the financial industry.
Rulemaking in George W. Bush’s second term posed costs to the U.S. economy, including business compliance expenses, estimated at $30.4 billion or more, according to Office of Management and Budget data. Estimates for rules headed for completion in a second Obama administration already approach that figure.
“If Obama’s goal is to beat Bush in regulation, the math looks better for him than the math for Romney in delegates,” said James Gattuso, a senior research fellow in regulatory policy at the Washington-based Heritage Foundation, which says it promotes conservative political policies.
The ozone rule would cost $19 billion to $90 billion in 2020, according to the White House. The Obama administration puts the cost of rearview cameras at $2.7 billion. A Bloomberg Government study in July found that four provisions of the Dodd- Frank law may cost banks and other financial services companies $22 billion, with hundreds of rules yet to be written.
“There would have to be a dramatic change in regulation for him not to exceed” Bush’s rulemaking history, Gattuso said.
Benefits Overlooked
Obama’s critics talk about the cost of regulations without factoring in the benefits, said Kenneth Baer, associate OMB director for communications and strategic planning. Rules approved during the first 32 months of Obama’s presidency will cost an estimated $19.9 billion while yielding net benefits of more than $91 billion in monetary savings and deaths and injuries avoided, according to OMB figures.
“You have to focus on what you’re buying,” said Michael Livermore, executive director of the Institute for Policy Integrity at the New York University School of Law. “If you just look at the price, you don’t know what you’re getting. Are these wise investments? That’s the question.”
An example of a regulation that is paying off, according to Livermore, is the Environmental Protection Agency’s mercury and air toxics rule, which caps pollutants emitted by power plants. It will cost utilities about $9.6 billion per year and is projected to yield up to $90 billion in benefits in terms of saved lives, reduced illness and jobs created, according to the EPA.
Regulation Resistant
As with many rules in the environmental and financial services sectors, the expense and benefits are unevenly distributed, which tends to make those saddled with costs particularly resistant to regulation, Livermore said.
Power companies “pay the costs and don’t receive the benefits,” he said. “There’s also not as powerful a lobby for ’lives saved.’”
The backlog of rulemaking plays into the attacks on Obama by Mitt Romney and other Republican presidential contenders, who say that regulatory burdens on business are slowing down economic recovery.
In a campaign position paper, Romney describes Obama’s approach to regulation as “unprecedented, unpredictable and unproductive” and he pledged to issue an executive order freeing states from complying with rules for the health care initiative and to scale back the Dodd-Frank regulatory regime.
Republican candidates Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich have made similar statements.
Supreme Court Hearing
The Supreme Court could do some of the Republican candidates’ work for them if it strikes down the health care law, the Affordable Care Act. The court is slated to hear a challenge to the law beginning March 26.
Even without sweeping initiatives like Dodd-Frank and the health care law, regulatory activity is likely to increase in a second Obama term, said Anne Joseph O’Connell, an administrative law professor at the University of California, Berkeley, law school.
Presidents try to take advantage of a honeymoon period with Congress early in a first term and concentrate on legislative achievements, she said. Lame-duck administrations tend to rely more on regulations to carry out their priorities, particularly in their final year in office, she said.
In addition, “it takes a long time to get their people in and regulations take time,” O’Connell said.
Second Bush Term
During George W. Bush’s second term, OMB reviewed 171 “economically significant” rules, up from 135 in his first term, according to OMB data. The estimated cost of first term rules, $21.6 billion, was about $9 billion less than the second term total.
While Bill Clinton issued fewer rules in his second term than his first, they were more costly on average. The total cost of his second term regulation is estimated at $24.5 billion for 144 significant rules, compared with $22.9 billion for 154 significant regulations in the first Clinton term. The figures are in 2001 dollars.
Rulemaking rarely is as one-sided toward costs as critics sometimes make it out to be, O’Connell said.
“The system is set up to make sure that agencies balance benefits and costs. The only way a rule is going to see very high costs is with even higher benefits,” she said. BD+C
Related Stories
Adaptive Reuse | Mar 5, 2023
Pittsburgh offers funds for office-to-residential conversions
The City of Pittsburgh’s redevelopment agency is accepting applications for funding from developers on projects to convert office buildings into affordable housing. The city’s goals are to improve downtown vitality, make better use of underutilized and vacant commercial office space, and alleviate a housing shortage.
Student Housing | Mar 5, 2023
Calif. governor Gavin Newsom seeks to reform environmental law used to block student housing
California Gov. Gavin Newsom wants to reform a landmark state environmental law that he says was weaponized by wealthy homeowners to block badly needed housing for students at the University of California, Berkeley.
Green Renovation | Mar 5, 2023
Dept. of Energy offers $22 million for energy efficiency and building electrification upgrades
The Buildings Upgrade Prize (Buildings UP) sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy is offering more than $22 million in cash prizes and technical assistance to teams across America. Prize recipients will be selected based on their ideas to accelerate widespread, equitable energy efficiency and building electrification upgrades.
Windows and Doors | Mar 5, 2023
2022 North American Fenestration Standard released
The 2022 edition of AAMA/WDMA/CSA 101/I.S.2/A440, “North American Fenestration Standard/Specification for windows, doors, and skylights” (NAFS) has been published. The updated 2022 standard replaces the 2017 edition, part of a continued evolution of the standard to improve harmonization across North America, according to a news release.
AEC Innovators | Mar 3, 2023
Meet BD+C's 2023 AEC Innovators
More than ever, AEC firms and their suppliers are wedding innovation with corporate responsibility. How they are addressing climate change usually gets the headlines. But as the following articles in our AEC Innovators package chronicle, companies are attempting to make an impact as well on the integrity of their supply chains, the reduction of construction waste, and answering calls for more affordable housing and homeless shelters. As often as not, these companies are partnering with municipalities and nonprofit interest groups to help guide their production.
Modular Building | Mar 3, 2023
Pallet Shelter is fighting homelessness, one person and modular pod at a time
Everett, Wash.-based Pallet Inc. helped the City of Burlington, Vt., turn a municipal parking lot into an emergency shelter community, complete with 30 modular “sleeping cabins” for the homeless.
Codes | Mar 2, 2023
Biden Administration’s proposed building materials rules increase domestic requirements
The Biden Administration’s proposal on building materials rules used on federal construction and federally funded state and local buildings would significantly boost the made-in-America mandate. In the past, products could qualify as domestically made if at least 55% of the value of their components were from the U.S.
Industry Research | Mar 2, 2023
Watch: Findings from Gensler's latest workplace survey of 2,000 office workers
Gensler's Janet Pogue McLaurin discusses the findings in the firm's 2022 Workplace Survey, based on responses from more than 2,000 workers in 10 industry sectors.
AEC Innovators | Mar 2, 2023
Turner Construction extends its ESG commitment to thwarting forced labor in its supply chain
Turner Construction joins a growing AEC industry movement, inspired by the Design for Freedom initiative, to eliminate forced labor and child labor from the production and distribution of building products.
Multifamily Housing | Mar 1, 2023
Multifamily construction startup Cassette takes a different approach to modular building
Prefabricated modular design and construction have made notable inroads into such sectors as industrial, residential, hospitality and, more recently, office and healthcare. But Dafna Kaplan thinks that what’s held back the modular building industry from even greater market penetration has been suppliers’ insistence that they do everything: design, manufacture, logistics, land prep, assembly, even onsite construction. Kaplan is CEO and Founder of Cassette, a Los Angeles-based modular building startup.