Pending rules in the White House pipeline would position a re-elected President Barack Obama to outpace his predecessor with second-term rulemaking, according to a review of regulatory filings.
Obama has delayed until after the election decisions on regulating ozone levels and rearview cameras for cars. Rules still need to be written to carry out much of Obama’s signature first-term domestic policy initiatives, the health-care overhaul and the Dodd-Frank law regulating the financial industry.
Rulemaking in George W. Bush’s second term posed costs to the U.S. economy, including business compliance expenses, estimated at $30.4 billion or more, according to Office of Management and Budget data. Estimates for rules headed for completion in a second Obama administration already approach that figure.
“If Obama’s goal is to beat Bush in regulation, the math looks better for him than the math for Romney in delegates,” said James Gattuso, a senior research fellow in regulatory policy at the Washington-based Heritage Foundation, which says it promotes conservative political policies.
The ozone rule would cost $19 billion to $90 billion in 2020, according to the White House. The Obama administration puts the cost of rearview cameras at $2.7 billion. A Bloomberg Government study in July found that four provisions of the Dodd- Frank law may cost banks and other financial services companies $22 billion, with hundreds of rules yet to be written.
“There would have to be a dramatic change in regulation for him not to exceed” Bush’s rulemaking history, Gattuso said.
Benefits Overlooked
Obama’s critics talk about the cost of regulations without factoring in the benefits, said Kenneth Baer, associate OMB director for communications and strategic planning. Rules approved during the first 32 months of Obama’s presidency will cost an estimated $19.9 billion while yielding net benefits of more than $91 billion in monetary savings and deaths and injuries avoided, according to OMB figures.
“You have to focus on what you’re buying,” said Michael Livermore, executive director of the Institute for Policy Integrity at the New York University School of Law. “If you just look at the price, you don’t know what you’re getting. Are these wise investments? That’s the question.”
An example of a regulation that is paying off, according to Livermore, is the Environmental Protection Agency’s mercury and air toxics rule, which caps pollutants emitted by power plants. It will cost utilities about $9.6 billion per year and is projected to yield up to $90 billion in benefits in terms of saved lives, reduced illness and jobs created, according to the EPA.
Regulation Resistant
As with many rules in the environmental and financial services sectors, the expense and benefits are unevenly distributed, which tends to make those saddled with costs particularly resistant to regulation, Livermore said.
Power companies “pay the costs and don’t receive the benefits,” he said. “There’s also not as powerful a lobby for ’lives saved.’”
The backlog of rulemaking plays into the attacks on Obama by Mitt Romney and other Republican presidential contenders, who say that regulatory burdens on business are slowing down economic recovery.
In a campaign position paper, Romney describes Obama’s approach to regulation as “unprecedented, unpredictable and unproductive” and he pledged to issue an executive order freeing states from complying with rules for the health care initiative and to scale back the Dodd-Frank regulatory regime.
Republican candidates Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich have made similar statements.
Supreme Court Hearing
The Supreme Court could do some of the Republican candidates’ work for them if it strikes down the health care law, the Affordable Care Act. The court is slated to hear a challenge to the law beginning March 26.
Even without sweeping initiatives like Dodd-Frank and the health care law, regulatory activity is likely to increase in a second Obama term, said Anne Joseph O’Connell, an administrative law professor at the University of California, Berkeley, law school.
Presidents try to take advantage of a honeymoon period with Congress early in a first term and concentrate on legislative achievements, she said. Lame-duck administrations tend to rely more on regulations to carry out their priorities, particularly in their final year in office, she said.
In addition, “it takes a long time to get their people in and regulations take time,” O’Connell said.
Second Bush Term
During George W. Bush’s second term, OMB reviewed 171 “economically significant” rules, up from 135 in his first term, according to OMB data. The estimated cost of first term rules, $21.6 billion, was about $9 billion less than the second term total.
While Bill Clinton issued fewer rules in his second term than his first, they were more costly on average. The total cost of his second term regulation is estimated at $24.5 billion for 144 significant rules, compared with $22.9 billion for 154 significant regulations in the first Clinton term. The figures are in 2001 dollars.
Rulemaking rarely is as one-sided toward costs as critics sometimes make it out to be, O’Connell said.
“The system is set up to make sure that agencies balance benefits and costs. The only way a rule is going to see very high costs is with even higher benefits,” she said. BD+C
Related Stories
Architects | Apr 14, 2016
You can watch over 50 architectural documentaries on YouTube for free
The Arts & Culture Bureau YouTube channel offers architectural documentaries about structures and works that span thousands of years and dozens of locations
Senior Living Design | Apr 14, 2016
Creating a home for eldercare using the ‘Green House’ design concept
VOA Associates’ Douglas King offers design considerations in implementing the Green House concept in eldercare for continuing care retirement communities.
Industrial Facilities | Apr 13, 2016
Ford begins 10-year plan to centralize Dearborn, Mich., campus
The company said that it will rebuild 7.5 million sf of work space over a 10-year period, which will shift 30,000 employees from 70 buildings now into two primary locations.
Building Tech | Apr 12, 2016
Should we be worried about a tech slowdown?
Is the U.S. in an innovative funk, or is this just the calm before the storm?
Multifamily Housing | Apr 7, 2016
Multifamily and Specialized Housing projects honored in 2016 AIA Housing Awards
A San Francisco low-income mixed-use complex, a Los Angeles homeless veterans housing facility, and a series of student residential buildings at UMass were among the winners.
Green | Apr 4, 2016
AIA report analyzes 20 years of the best green projects
"Lessons from the Leading Edge" is a study of the 200 Committee on the Environment (COTE) Top Ten Award winning projects since 1997.
Architects | Apr 1, 2016
Adrian Smith earns UIC’s Legacies and Leaders Award
The Chicago architect graduated from the school and created a scholarship for aspiring architects.
Architects | Mar 31, 2016
Zaha Hadid dies at 65
Often credited as being a pioneer for women architects for her work in a male-dominated field, Hadid had designs commissioned around the world from London to Hong Kong to Cincinnati.
Architects | Mar 31, 2016
Auto-shading windows and point-of-decision design are among the research projects to receive AIA funding grants
Firms represented by the projects and initiatives receiving grants include HKS, DO|SU Studio Architecture, and McClain + Yu Architecture and Design.
Hotel Facilities | Mar 30, 2016
The Usonian Inn, a Frank Lloyd Wright-inspired motor lodge, is on the market for $665,000
The Usonian Inn proudly displays many Wright-inspired characteristics, the most prominent of which is the use of cantilevered overhangs.