Reed Construction Data has announced that the dollar value of construction starts in June, excluding residential activity, surged 34% versus May. The figures are in "current" dollars, meaning they are not adjusted for inflation.
The individual month of June, at $32.0 billion, was one of the strongest in Reed's entire database. To find a similarly high volume, one has to look back at June 2008, just before the Great Recession really took hold.
The one-third increase was an outsized gain, even after taking into account seasonality. Reed's long-term average May-to-June increase has been 4.5%. By comparison, May's month-to-month percentage change was +6.2% and April's -4.5%.
June starts this year compared with June of last year were +14.4%. The year-to-date level of total nonresidential construction starts, at $138 billion, was +2.4% when compared with the same January to June period of 2013.
Nonresidential construction accounts for a considerably larger share than of the total than residential work. The former's proportion of total put-in-place construction in the Census Bureau's May report was 62% versus the latter's 38%.
Reed's construction starts are leading indicators for the Census Bureau's capital investment or put-in-place series.
After a shockingly harsh winter, during which GDP contracted, the U.S. economy is back on an expansionary path with stock market indices near record highs and the unemployment rate close to the nation's 20-year average of 6.0%. Firms in the private sector are feeling more pressure to build new facilities.
The month-to-month leaders among major nonresidential construction categories were commercial +39%, and heavy engineering +34.7%. Institutional work was also up +3.6%, but to a much lesser degree. Industrial starts recorded a large percentage gain, but it came on top of a smaller dollar volume than the other three.
Commercial starts this June were even more impressive, +48.5%, when compared with June of last year. Engineering starts this June versus the same month last year were +13.7%. Institutional starts were -8.1%.
Year to date, heavy engineering (+13%) is out front, followed by institutional (+5.9%). Commercial starts (-14.5%) are still down from last year. Industrial work is 13.5%.
In commercial construction's two largest sub-categories, retail starts were +8.3% month to month, but -8.1% year to date, while private office building starts were +81.6% month to month and +29.6 year to date.
In the institutional category of work, school and college starts were +7.5% month to month and +9.7% year over year. Hospital/clinic starts moved in the opposite direction, -43.2% month to month and -12.3% year to date.
With the exception of dam/marine work, all the sub-categories of heavy engineering construction were ahead both month to month and year to date, with water and sewage work especially strong versus May, +40.2.
Institutional and heavy engineering work have especially close ties to government finances. Washington's deficit is diminishing, although the debt load remains high. At the state and local levels, the ongoing improvement in the overall economy is providing budgetary payoffs.
The nonresidential construction sector will derive benefits from taxes that are increasing naturally. Stronger employment and higher incomes lift income tax revenues; advances in consumer spending yield more sales taxes; and rising home prices translate into improved property taxes.
The value of construction starts each month is summarized from Reed's database of all active construction projects in the U.S. Missing project values are estimated with the help of RSMeans' building cost models.
See Reed Construction Data's full Construction Industry Snapshot here.
Related Stories
| Apr 5, 2011
Top 10 Buildings: Women in Architecture
Making selections of top buildings this week led to a surprising discovery about the representation of women in architecture, writes Tom Mallory, COO and co-founder, OpenBuildings.com. He discovered that finding female-created architecture, when excluding husband/wife teams, is extremely difficult and often the only work he came across was akin to interior design.
| Apr 5, 2011
What do Chengdu, Lagos, and Chicago have in common?
They’re all “world middleweight cities” that are likely to become regional megacities (10 million people) by 2025—along with Dongguan, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Tianjin, and Wuhan (China); Kinshasa (Democratic Republic of the Congo); Jakarta (Indonesia); Lahore (Pakistan); and Chennai (India), according to a new report from McKinsey Global Institute: “Urban World: Mapping the economic power of cities”.
| Mar 30, 2011
China's low-carbon future city
In 2005, the Chinese government announced its target to reduce energy consumption per GDP unit by 20% by the year 2010. After a multi-billion investment, that target has been reached. The Chinese Climate Protection Program’s goal to increase energy efficiency, develop renewable energies, and promote energy savings while reducing pollutant emissions and strengthening environmental protection is reflected in the “Future City” by SBA Design.
| Mar 30, 2011
Is the AEC industry at risk of losing its next generation leaders without better mentoring?
After two or three horrifying years for the AEC industry, we are finally seeing the makings of a turnaround. However, data developed by Kermit Baker as part of the AIA Work-on-the-Boards survey program indicates that between 17% and 22% of design firms are eliminating positions for interns and staff with less than six years of experience. This data suggests the industry is at risk of losing a large segment of its next generation of leaders if something isn't done to improve mentoring across the profession.
| Mar 29, 2011
City's design, transit system can ease gas costs
Some cities in the U.S. are better positioned to deal with rising gas prices than others because of their design and transit systems, according to CEOs for Cities, a Chicago-based nonprofit that works to build stronger cities. The key factor: whether residents have to drive everywhere, or have other options.