Reed Construction Data has announced that the dollar value of construction starts in June, excluding residential activity, surged 34% versus May. The figures are in "current" dollars, meaning they are not adjusted for inflation.
The individual month of June, at $32.0 billion, was one of the strongest in Reed's entire database. To find a similarly high volume, one has to look back at June 2008, just before the Great Recession really took hold.
The one-third increase was an outsized gain, even after taking into account seasonality. Reed's long-term average May-to-June increase has been 4.5%. By comparison, May's month-to-month percentage change was +6.2% and April's -4.5%.
June starts this year compared with June of last year were +14.4%. The year-to-date level of total nonresidential construction starts, at $138 billion, was +2.4% when compared with the same January to June period of 2013.
Nonresidential construction accounts for a considerably larger share than of the total than residential work. The former's proportion of total put-in-place construction in the Census Bureau's May report was 62% versus the latter's 38%.
Reed's construction starts are leading indicators for the Census Bureau's capital investment or put-in-place series.
After a shockingly harsh winter, during which GDP contracted, the U.S. economy is back on an expansionary path with stock market indices near record highs and the unemployment rate close to the nation's 20-year average of 6.0%. Firms in the private sector are feeling more pressure to build new facilities.
The month-to-month leaders among major nonresidential construction categories were commercial +39%, and heavy engineering +34.7%. Institutional work was also up +3.6%, but to a much lesser degree. Industrial starts recorded a large percentage gain, but it came on top of a smaller dollar volume than the other three.
Commercial starts this June were even more impressive, +48.5%, when compared with June of last year. Engineering starts this June versus the same month last year were +13.7%. Institutional starts were -8.1%.
Year to date, heavy engineering (+13%) is out front, followed by institutional (+5.9%). Commercial starts (-14.5%) are still down from last year. Industrial work is 13.5%.
In commercial construction's two largest sub-categories, retail starts were +8.3% month to month, but -8.1% year to date, while private office building starts were +81.6% month to month and +29.6 year to date.
In the institutional category of work, school and college starts were +7.5% month to month and +9.7% year over year. Hospital/clinic starts moved in the opposite direction, -43.2% month to month and -12.3% year to date.
With the exception of dam/marine work, all the sub-categories of heavy engineering construction were ahead both month to month and year to date, with water and sewage work especially strong versus May, +40.2.
Institutional and heavy engineering work have especially close ties to government finances. Washington's deficit is diminishing, although the debt load remains high. At the state and local levels, the ongoing improvement in the overall economy is providing budgetary payoffs.
The nonresidential construction sector will derive benefits from taxes that are increasing naturally. Stronger employment and higher incomes lift income tax revenues; advances in consumer spending yield more sales taxes; and rising home prices translate into improved property taxes.
The value of construction starts each month is summarized from Reed's database of all active construction projects in the U.S. Missing project values are estimated with the help of RSMeans' building cost models.
See Reed Construction Data's full Construction Industry Snapshot here.
Related Stories
Architects | Feb 23, 2018
AIA elevates 152 members and two international architects to the College of Fellows
AIA Fellowship recognizes significant contributions to profession of architecture and society.
Airports | Feb 21, 2018
Terminal Modernization: Why Bother? Part II
This is the second post in our series examining why airport operators should bother to upgrade their facilities, even if capacity isn’t forcing the issue.
Urban Planning | Feb 21, 2018
Leading communities in the Second Machine Age
What exactly is the Second Machine Age? The name refers to a book by MIT researchers Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee.
Retail Centers | Feb 20, 2018
Is there a future in retail banking? Part II
It is critical to not view the physical branch as just another sales channel, but as an important touchpoint along a customer’s journey.
Architects | Feb 15, 2018
AIASF Equity by Design to launch 2018 Equity in Architecture Survey
AIA San Francisco (AIASF) and the Equity by Design Committee, launched the third national Equity in Architecture Survey on February 12, 2018. Building upon the survey conducted in 2016, the third survey will further advance the national movement for equitable practice in the profession.
Urban Planning | Feb 14, 2018
6 urban design trends to watch in 2018
2017 saw the continuation of the evolution of expectations on the part of consumers, developers, office workers, and cities.
Office Buildings | Feb 13, 2018
Office market vacancy rate at 10-year low
Cautious development and healthy absorption across major markets contributed to the decline in vacancy, according to a new Transwestern report.
Architects | Feb 12, 2018
AIA selects seven individuals to receive the 2018 Associates Award
The recipients will be honored at the AIA Conference on Architecture 2018 in New York City.
Architects | Feb 9, 2018
AIA's 2018 Young Architects Award honors 18 recipients
The Young Architects Award recipients will be honored at the AIA Conference on Architecture 2018 in New York City.
Architects | Feb 8, 2018
Three ways cities could evolve 2018
Cities change constantly, but given the numerous disruptive factors spanning technology, policy, climate and more that will impact 2018 – it could prove to be a year of dynamic change for our urban fabric.
