National nonresidential construction spending declined 1.8% in June, totaling $773.8 billion on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis—a 2.3% increase compared to the same time a year ago, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data published today. Public nonresidential spending fell 3.7% in June, but is up 6.4% year over year, while private nonresidential spending fell 0.3% on a monthly basis and is up 0.4% from June 2018.
Among the 16 nonresidential construction spending categories tracked by the Census Bureau, seven experienced increases in monthly spending, although only the conservation and development (+3.8%) and commercial (+1.3%) categories increased by more than 1%. While spending in several categories fell for the month, significant decreases in the publicly driven educational (-6.5%) and highway and street (-6.3%) categories accounted for nearly all of the monthly decline.
“Like the balance of the U.S. economy, nonresidential construction spending appears to be softening, albeit gradually,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Private nonresidential construction spending has been trending lower for several months, and segments like office and lodging are no longer the drivers of construction spending growth that they had been, likely due to growing concerns about market saturation.
“The dip in public construction may have been merely temporary, which is likely the case given the ongoing strength of state and local government finances.” said Basu. “And with the economy still adding substantial numbers of jobs, wages growing at or near a decade-high pace, consumers continuing to spend and property values remaining stable, local and state governments should continue to experience solid income, retail and real estate tax collections. All things being equal, that should help fuel infrastructure outlays, especially given still very low borrowing costs.
“While many observers continue to focus on issues such as trade disputes, high levels of corporate debt and asset prices that are susceptible to sharp declines, the U.S. construction industry’s most significant source of uncertainty may be the pending insolvency of the Highway Trust Fund,” said Basu. “That insolvency is now a mere two years away, and if policymakers fail to act expeditiously, state and local policymakers may choose to postpone certain projects given the rising uncertainty of federal funding. The highway/street and transportation categories are especially vulnerable to such dynamics.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Apr 1, 2021
Construction spending slips in February
Shrinking demand, soaring costs, and supply delays threaten project completion dates and finances.
Market Data | Mar 26, 2021
Construction employment in February trails pre-pandemic level in 44 states
Soaring costs, supply-chain problems jeopardize future jobs.
Market Data | Mar 24, 2021
Architecture billings climb into positive territory after a year of monthly declines
AIA’s ABI score for February was 53.3 compared to 44.9 in January.
Market Data | Mar 22, 2021
Construction employment slips in 225 metros from January 2020 to January 2021
Rampant cancellations augur further declines ahead.
Market Data | Mar 18, 2021
Commercial Construction Contractors’ Outlook lifts on rising revenue expectations
Concerns about finding skilled workers, material costs, and steel tariffs linger.
Market Data | Mar 16, 2021
Construction employment in January lags pre-pandemic mark in 42 states
Canceled projects, supply-chain woes threaten future jobs.
Market Data | Mar 15, 2021
Rising materials prices and supply chain disruptions are hurting many construction firms
The same firms are already struggling to cope with pandemic impacts.
Market Data | Mar 11, 2021
Soaring materials costs, supply-chain problems, and project cancellations continue to impact construction industry
Costs and delayed deliveries of materials, parts, and supplies are vexing many contractors.
Market Data | Mar 8, 2021
Construction employment declines by 61,000 in February
Association officials urge congress and Biden administration to focus on new infrastructure funding.
Market Data | Mar 2, 2021
Construction spending rises in January as private nonresidential sector stages rare gain
Private nonresidential market shrinks 10% since January 2020 with declines in all 11 segments.