National nonresidential construction spending was down by 0.6% in May, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published today by the U.S. Census Bureau. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, nonresidential spending totaled $832.5 billion for the month.
Spending was down on a monthly basis in 10 of the 16 nonresidential subcategories. Private nonresidential spending was down 0.4%, while public nonresidential construction spending was down 0.8% in May. Nonresidential construction spending is up 1.0% over the past year, though spending is down in 10 of 16 categories over that span. The best performer is manufacturing, a segment in which construction spending is up 26.3% on a year-over-year basis.
“Many contractors continue to report that they are operating at capacity despite a lack of strong nonresidential construction spending recovery,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “That juxtaposition provides solid evidence that the supply side of the U.S. economy remains heavily constrained by worker shortages, domestic and global supply chain disruptions and resulting high prices.
“Since the early months of the pandemic, contractors have reported that they are able to pass along their cost increases to project owners, according to ABC’s Construction Confidence Index,” said Basu. “But there are growing concerns among industry leaders that the ability to pass along cost increases will dissipate during the months ahead as financial conditions tighten and confidence in economic performance wanes.
“A primary implication is that contractor margins may be squeezed going forward, and there is growing anecdotal evidence that this is already occurring,” said Basu. “There is also a growing risk of a significant number of project postponements in both private and public construction segments due to high materials prices and labor costs.
“The key to sustaining nonresidential construction’s recovery will be slower inflation,” said Basu. “As long as inflation remains elevated, monetary policy will continue to tighten and project owners will be less willing to move forward with projects in an effort to preserve cash. Unfortunately, ongoing efforts to limit inflation are likely to result in recession or at least further economic slowing, which will create additional issues for many contractors. However, less inflation and more favorable construction materials prices would create a foundation for renewed construction spending vigor.”
![Nonresidential Spending Growth](/sites/default/files/inline-images/Nonresidential%20Spending%20Growth.png)
![Total Nonresidential Construction Spending](/sites/default/files/inline-images/Total%20Nonresidential%20Construction%20Spending.png)
Related Stories
Market Data | Jun 19, 2019
Number of U.S. architects continues to rise
New data from NCARB reveals that the number of architects continues to increase.
Market Data | Jun 12, 2019
Construction input prices see slight increase in May
Among the 11 subcategories, six saw prices fall last month, with the largest decreases in natural gas.
Market Data | Jun 3, 2019
Nonresidential construction spending up 6.4% year over year in April
Among the 16 sectors tracked by the U.S. Census Bureau, nine experienced an increase in monthly spending, led by water supply and highway and street.
Market Data | Jun 3, 2019
4.1% annual growth in office asking rents above five-year compound annual growth rate
Market has experienced no change in office vacancy rates in three quarters.
Market Data | May 30, 2019
Construction employment increases in 250 out of 358 metros from April 2018 to April 2019
Demand for work is outpacing the supply of workers.
Market Data | May 24, 2019
Construction contractors confidence remains high in March
More than 70% of contractors expect to increase staffing levels over the next six months.
Market Data | May 22, 2019
Slight rebound for architecture billings in April
AIA’s ABI score for April showed a small increase in design services at 50.5 in April.
Market Data | May 9, 2019
The U.S. hotel construction pipeline continues to grow in the first quarter as the economy shows surprising strength
Projects currently under construction stand at 1,709 projects/227,924 rooms.
Market Data | May 9, 2019
Construction input prices continue to rise
Nonresidential input prices rose 0.9% compared to March and are up 2.8% on an annual basis.
Market Data | May 7, 2019
Construction costs in major metros continued to climb last year
Latest Rider Levett Bucknall report estimates rise at more than double the rate of 2018 Growth Domestic Product.