Nonresidential construction spending contracted 1.6% on a monthly basis in June, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data released today. Spending totaled $742.4 billion on a seasonally adjusted annual rate for the month, a 4.2% increase from the same time one year ago. Private nonresidential spending fell 0.3% in June, while public nonresidential spending contracted by 3.5%.
“The hope is that June’s construction spending setback is merely a statistical aberration,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “That is certainly a possibility given the recent second quarter gross domestic product report, which among other things indicated extraordinarily rapid growth in the construction of structures. Other data, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator, indicate ongoing elevated levels of demand for construction services. Construction employment statistics are also consistent with industry expansion.
“But as tempting as it is to simply relegate June spending data to the back burner, there are other less benign explanations,” said Basu. “One relates to worker productivity. With construction firms suffering grave difficulty finding skilled workers, it may simply be a case of slowed construction service delivery. However, this is not an especially compelling explanation for one month of data. The shortage of human capital is long-lived, and the recent pace of construction hiring has been rapid.
“A more likely explanation is that the recent surge in construction materials prices is resulting in material acquisition delays,” said Basu. “This has the effect of lengthening projects as contractors painstakingly search for the most affordable sources of steel, lumber or other inputs. Since monthly construction spending declines were apparent in both private and public segments, it is also possible that certain projects have been put on hold, with the hope that input prices will eventually decline to lower levels.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Sep 29, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 29, 2020
Renovation to Providence's downtown library is completed and Amazon to build 1,500 new last-mile warehouses.
Market Data | Sep 25, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 25, 2020
AIA releases latest 2030 Commitment results and news delivery robots could generate trillions for U.S. economy.
Market Data | Sep 24, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 24, 2020
SOM's new waterfront neighborhood and a portable restroom designed for mobility.
Market Data | Sep 23, 2020
Architectural billings in August still show little sign of improvement
The pace of decline during August remained at about the same level as in July and June.
Market Data | Sep 23, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 23, 2020
The new Theodore Presidential Library and the AIA/HUD's Secretary's Awards honor affordable, accessible housing.
Market Data | Sep 22, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 22, 2020
Construction employment declined in 39 states and no ease of lumber prices in sight.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2020
Washington is the US state with the most value of construction projects underway, says GlobalData
Of the top 10 largest projects in the Washington state, nine were in the execution stage as of August 2020.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2020
Construction employment declined in 39 states between August 2019 and 2020
31 states and DC added jobs between July and August.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 21, 2020
Four projects receive 202 AIA/ALA Library Building Award and Port San Antonio's new Innovation Center.
Market Data | Sep 18, 2020
Follow up survey of U.S. code officials demonstrates importance of continued investment in virtual capabilities
Existing needs highlight why supporting building and fire prevention departments at the federal, state, and local levels is critical.