In its first-quarter index of Construction Confidence, the Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) found that 55% of contractors expected their sales to increase over the following six months, and only 19% thought their sales would decline in that period.
They might need to recalibrate their exuberance, in light of the trade group’s latest analysis of data published by the U.S. Census Bureau, which ABC released today. It estimates that national nonresidential construction spending in May, at $784.5 billion, was down 7.1% from the same month a year ago, and off 0.7% from spending levels in April 2021.
On a year-over-year basis, spending for every nonresidential category that ABC tracks, except sewage and waste disposal, was negative. Spending on public safety projects—which surged during the early months of the pandemic—showed the greatest decline in May, 39.6%, and lodging also took a big hit (off 23.3% to $22.6 billion). On the other hand, spending in May on healthcare construction, nearly $47 billion, was down only marginally, by 1.5%, compared to the same month a year ago.
WORKER SHORTAGES AND MATERIAL PRICING REMAIN PROJECT ROADBLOCKS
Construction spending for public safety and lodging projects showed the steepest declines in May compared to the same month a year ago.
A red-hot data center market hasn’t spelled more office construction, notes Anirban Basu, ABC’s Chief Economist. Basu also points out that while some private construction segments are struggling under the dislocating impacts of the pandemic, public nonresidential construction actually has declined more rapidly than the private sector over the past year.
Basu sees some hope for the future. Public construction spending should benefit from improvements in state and local governments’ financial conditions. But he tempers his predictions because of still-high construction materials prices and “deeply problematic” worker shortages. Basu expressed some concern, too, about the disproportionate amount of spending moving toward residential construction, which accounted for 41% of the pre-pandemic total and 49% in May.
Related Stories
Libraries | Mar 26, 2023
An abandoned T.J. Maxx is transformed into a new public library in Cincinnati
What was once an abandoned T.J. Maxx store in a shopping center is now a vibrant, inviting public library. The Cincinnati & Hamilton County Public Library (CHPL) has transformed the ghost store into the new Deer Park Library, designed by GBBN.
Multifamily Housing | Mar 24, 2023
Multifamily developers offering new car-free projects in car-centric cities
Cities in the South and Southwest have eased zoning rules with parking space mandates in recent years to allow developers to build new housing with less parking.
Multifamily Housing | Mar 24, 2023
Coastal multifamily developers, owners expect huge jump in insurance costs
In Texas and Florida, where Hurricane Ian caused $50 billion in damage last year, insurance costs are nearly 50% higher than in 2022.
Multifamily Housing | Mar 24, 2023
Average size of new apartments dropped sharply in 2022
The average size of new apartments in 2022 dropped sharply in 2022, as tracked by RentCafe. Across the U.S., the average new apartment size was 887 sf, down 30 sf from 2021, which was the largest year-over-year decrease.
Government Buildings | Mar 24, 2023
19 federal buildings named GSA Design Awards winners
After a six-year hiatus, the U.S. General Services Administration late last year resumed its esteemed GSA Design Awards program. In all, 19 federal building projects nationwide were honored with 2022 GSA Design Awards, eight with Honor Awards and 11 with Citations.
Healthcare Facilities | Mar 22, 2023
New Jersey’s new surgical tower features state’s first intraoperative MRI system
Hackensack (N.J.) University Medical Center recently opened its 530,000-sf Helena Theurer Pavilion, a nine-story surgical and intensive care tower designed by RSC Architects and Page. The county’s first hospital, Hackensack University Medical Center, a 781-bed nonprofit teaching and research hospital, was founded in 1888.
Project + Process Innovation | Mar 22, 2023
Onsite prefabrication for healthcare construction: It's more than a process, it's a partnership
Prefabrication can help project teams navigate an uncertain market. GBBN's Mickey LeRoy, AIA, ACHA, LEED AP, explains the difference between onsite and offsite prefabrication methods for healthcare construction projects.
Geothermal Technology | Mar 22, 2023
Lendlease secures grants for New York’s largest geothermal residential building
Lendlease and joint venture partner Aware Super, one of Australia’s largest superannuation funds, have acquired $4 million in support from the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority to build a geoexchange system at 1 Java Street in Brooklyn. Once completed, the all-electric property will be the largest residential project in New York State to use a geothermal heat exchange system.
Women in Design+Construction | Mar 21, 2023
Two leading women in construction events unite in 2023
The new Women in Residential + Commercial Construction Conference (WIR+CC) will take place in Nashville, Tenn., October 25-27, 2023. Combining these two long-standing events aligns with our mission to create an event most impactful for women in the $1.4 trillion U.S. commercial and residential design and construction industry.
Mass Timber | Mar 19, 2023
A 100% mass timber construction project is under way in North Carolina
An office building 100% made from mass timber has started construction within the Live Oak Bank campus in Wilmington, N.C. The 67,000-sf structure, a joint building venture between the GCs Swinerton and Wilmington-headquartered Monteith Construction, is scheduled for completion in early 2024.
