Proposal activity for Multifamily-for-Rent (Apartments) and Condominium properties continued to exceed historic norms, with Condos achieving its highest level since PSMJ Resources began tracking submarkets in its Quarterly Market Forecast (QMF) of A/E/C firm leaders. Apartments, which recorded its third-highest NPMI of 71% in the 1st Quarter, repeated that score in the 2nd Quarter.
While 61% of respondents working in the Condo market reported an increase in proposal activity from the 1st Quarter to the 2nd Quarter, only 2% saw a decline. This net plus/minus index (NPMI) of 59% exceeded the previous high for Condos of 49% achieved in the 4th Quarter of 2014.
Second-quarter proposal activity for Apartments continued to outpace all other submarkets in the Housing sector and all but one (Product Manufacturing) of the 58 submarkets measured across all construction sectors. A full three-quarters of the A/E/C firm leaders responding to PSMJ’s quarterly survey said that Multifamily proposal opportunities grew in the 2nd Quarter compared with only 4% who reported a decline.
The NPMI expresses the difference between the percentage of PSMJ member firms reporting an increase in proposal activity and those reporting a decrease. The QMF has proven to be a solid predictor of market health for 12 major markets served by the A/E/C industry since its inception in 2003, and for 58 submarkets since 2006.
The record-high NPMI for Apartments was 76% in the 1st Quarter of 2018, followed by 72% in the 1st Quarter of 2012 and 71% in the 1st Quarters of 2015 and 2021.
PSMJ Senior Principal David Burstein, PE, AECPM, says the future strength of the housing market relies heavily on the ability of state and federal government agencies to invest adequately in infrastructure. “The condo and apartment markets have been on fire for several years, resulting in a lot of new multifamily housing,” says Burstein. “This is now creating traffic and other congestion problems which, if not dealt with by the cognizant government agencies, may cause the multifamily market to slow down in the coming quarters. So it is important to continue tracking the PSMJ NPMI over the next few quarters to spot any emerging slowdowns.”
The Assisted/Independent Senior Living submarket leveled off to an NPMI of 49%, down 10 NPMI percentage points from the 1st Quarter. While 51% of respondents reported an increase in proposal activity, only 2% saw a drop and the remaining 47% said opportunities were flat.
The two other Housing submarkets measured in the PSMJ survey remained strong. The Housing Subdivision market recorded an NPMI of 68% for a second straight month, as not a single respondent in the 2nd Quarter survey reported a decline in proposal opportunities. Single-Family Homes also repeated its 1st Quarter NPMI; the 51% index score once again tied for its second-highest level since the inception of submarket data tracking in the QMF.
PSMJ Resources, a consulting and publishing company dedicated to the A/E/C industry, has conducted its Quarterly Market Forecast for more than 18 years. It includes data on 12 major markets and 58 submarkets served by A/E/C firms. For more information, go to https://www.psmj.com/surveys/quarterly-market-forecast-2.
Related Stories
Multifamily Housing | Jan 26, 2021
Merriman Anderson/Architects designs affordable housing complex out of shipping containers
The architect partnered with CitySquare Housing on the project.
Multifamily Housing | Jan 20, 2021
Abandoned Miami hospital gets third life as waterfront condo development
The 1920s King Cole Hotel becomes the Ritz-Carlton Residences Miami in the largest residential adaptive reuse project in South Florida.
Multifamily Housing | Jan 19, 2021
$100 million affordable housing development under construction in Santa Clara
KTGY Architecture + Planning is designing the project.
Multifamily Housing | Jan 14, 2021
The Weekly show, Jan 14, 2021: Passive House innovations, and launching a design studio during the pandemic
This week on The Weekly show, BD+C editors speak with AEC industry leaders about innovations in Passive House design, and the challenges of building a design team and opening a new design studio during a pandemic.
Multifamily Housing | Jan 11, 2021
McHugh Construction completes 5th-tallest all-residential building in the U.S.
McHugh Construction Completes Two Chicago Apartment Projects for Fifield Cos. and Crescent Heights, Including NEMA Chicago –Tallest All-Residential Building in Chicago and 5th Tallest in North Americ
Multifamily Housing | Jan 8, 2021
Student housing development in the time of COVID-19
Despite the coronavirus pandemic, many college and university residences were completed in time for classes, live or virtual. Here are 14 of the best.
Multifamily Housing | Dec 29, 2020
Sarah’s Circle supportive housing facility for women completes in Chicago
Perkins+Will designed the project.
Market Data | Dec 29, 2020
Multifamily transactions drop sharply in 2020, according to special report from Yardi Matrix
Sales completions at end of Q3 were down over 41 percent from the same period a year ago.
Multifamily Housing | Dec 16, 2020
What the Biden Administration means for multifamily construction
What can the multifamily real estate sector expect from Biden and Company? At the risk of having egg, if not a whole omelet, on my face, let me take a shot.
