The Marcum Commercial Construction Index highlights the continued spending weakness in nonresidential construction during the first nine months of the year and points to a significant anticipated change beginning in 2017. The change is being attributed to the major infrastructure-led stimulus package expected from the new Presidential administration. The national Construction Industry Practice group of Marcum LLP, a top national accounting and advisory firm, produces the quarterly index.
Overall nonresidential construction spending in September totaled $690.5 billion, down a slight 0.7 percent from a year earlier. Of the category’s 16 subsectors, bright spots included Office-related spending, which registered a whopping 23% gain to $70.7 billion; Lodging, up 20% year-over-year to $28.8 billion; Commercial construction, with a 6% gain to $71.7 billion; Amusement & Recreation, up 3.5% to $21.4 billion; and Educational construction, at $87.1 billion, a 3.3% percent increase.
The remaining 11 nonresidential subsectors all recorded fall-offs for the month, with the greatest declines in Sewage & Waste Disposal (-18.8%), Water Supply (-13.7%), Communication (-12.6%) and Transportation (-11.3%).
“Most construction firms report intense difficulty securing electricians, heating/cooling professionals, welders and carpenters, among others,” says Anirban Basu, Marcum’s Chief Construction Economist, in a press release. The construction worker unemployment rate in October was less than half of what it was five years ago, down to 5.7 % from 13.7 % in the same month of 2011. This compares to a national unemployment rate of 4.9% at the end of the 2016 third quarter.
Looking ahead, the Marcum report predicts that a stimulus package will put pressure on wages and inflation and lead to higher interest rates, which in turn will eventually hurt construction spending. “After a period of relatively intense construction spending due in part to a stimulus package, the nonresidential sector could face a sharp slowdown in construction spending thereafter,” it states.
For the complete Marcum Commercial Construction Index, visit www.marcumllp.com/industries/construction.
Related Stories
Industry Research | Feb 8, 2024
New multifamily development in 2023 exceeded expectations
Despite a problematic financing environment, 2023 multifamily construction starts held up “remarkably well” according to the latest Yardi Matrix report.
Market Data | Feb 7, 2024
New download: BD+C's February 2024 Market Intelligence Report
Building Design+Construction's monthly Market Intelligence Report offers a snapshot of the health of the U.S. building construction industry, including the commercial, multifamily, institutional, and industrial building sectors. This report tracks the latest metrics related to construction spending, demand for design services, contractor backlogs, and material price trends.
Industry Research | Jan 31, 2024
ASID identifies 11 design trends coming in 2024
The Trends Outlook Report by the American Society of Interior Designers (ASID) is the first of a three-part outlook series on interior design. This design trends report demonstrates the importance of connection and authenticity.
Apartments | Jan 26, 2024
New apartment supply: Top 5 metros delivering in 2024
Nationally, the total new apartment supply amounts to around 1.4 million units—well exceeding the apartment development historical average of 980,000 units.
Self-Storage Facilities | Jan 25, 2024
One-quarter of self-storage renters are Millennials
Interest in self-storage has increased in over 75% of the top metros according to the latest StorageCafe survey of self-storage preferences. Today, Millennials make up 25% of all self-storage renters.
Industry Research | Jan 23, 2024
Leading economists forecast 4% growth in construction spending for nonresidential buildings in 2024
Spending on nonresidential buildings will see a modest 4% increase in 2024, after increasing by more than 20% last year according to The American Institute of Architects’ latest Consensus Construction Forecast. The pace will slow to just over 1% growth in 2025, a marked difference from the strong performance in 2023.
Construction Costs | Jan 22, 2024
Construction material prices continue to normalize despite ongoing challenges
Gordian’s most recent Quarterly Construction Cost Insights Report for Q4 2023 describes an industry still attempting to recover from the impact of COVID. This was complicated by inflation, weather, and geopolitical factors that resulted in widespread pricing adjustments throughout the construction materials industries.
Hotel Facilities | Jan 22, 2024
U.S. hotel construction is booming, with a record-high 5,964 projects in the pipeline
The hotel construction pipeline hit record project counts at Q4, with the addition of 260 projects and 21,287 rooms over last quarter, according to Lodging Econometrics.
Multifamily Housing | Jan 15, 2024
Multifamily rent growth rate unchanged at 0.3%
The National Multifamily Report by Yardi Matrix highlights the highs and lows of the multifamily market in 2023. Despite strong demand, rent growth remained unchanged at 0.3 percent.
Self-Storage Facilities | Jan 5, 2024
The state of self-storage in early 2024
As the housing market cools down, storage facilities suffer from lower occupancy and falling rates, according to the December 2023 Yardi Matrix National Self Storage Report.