In the third quarter of 2018, analysts at Lodging Econometrics (LE) report that the top five markets with the largest total hotel construction pipelines are: New York City with 170 projects/29,630 rooms; Dallas with 157 projects/18,954 rooms; Houston with 150 projects/16,473 rooms; Los Angeles with 141 projects/24,129 rooms; and Nashville with 115 projects/15,179 rooms.
Projects already under construction and those scheduled to start construction in the next 12 months, combined, have a total of 3,782 projects/213,798 rooms and are at cyclical highs. Markets with the greatest number of projects already in the ground and those scheduled to start construction in the next 12 months are New York with 145 projects/24,675 rooms, Dallas with 112 projects/13,854 rooms, Houston with 103 projects/11,562 rooms, Los Angeles with 92 projects/14,249 rooms, and Nashville with 88 projects/12,322 rooms.
In the third quarter, Los Angeles has the highest number of new projects announced into the pipeline with 22 projects/6,457 rooms. Detroit follows Los Angeles with 18 projects/1,937 rooms, Dallas with 14 projects/1,529 rooms, New York City with 12 projects/1,857 rooms, and then Atlanta with 12 projects/1,354 rooms.
Reflecting the strong cyclical highs in the pipeline, LE’s forecast for new hotel openings will continue to rise in 2018-2020. In 2018, New York City tops the list with 29 new hotels expected to open/5,351 rooms, Dallas with 29 projects/3,187 rooms, Houston with 27 projects/3,259 rooms, Nashville with 22 projects/3,018 rooms, and Los Angeles with 12 projects/2,152 rooms. In the 2019 forecast, New York continues to lead with the highest number of new hotels expected to open with 59 projects/8,964 rooms followed by Houston with 31 projects/3,098 rooms and Dallas with 30 projects/3,379 rooms. In 2020, Dallas is forecast to take the lead for new hotel openings with 41 projects/4,809 rooms expected to open, followed by New York with 36 projects/5,978 rooms, and Los Angeles with 33 projects/4,292 rooms expected to open.
With the exception of New York City and Houston, the other markets mentioned in the opening show that supply growth has begun to surpass demand. The variances in 2018 year-to-date are small but are certain to widen in the next two years, given the strength of these pipeline in the markets.
All in all, 10 of the top 25 markets show supply growth minimally exceeding demand growth in 2018.
Related Stories
Market Data | Nov 23, 2020
Construction employment is down in three-fourths of states since February
This news comes even after 36 states added construction jobs in October.
Market Data | Nov 18, 2020
Architecture billings remained stalled in October
The pace of decline during October remained at about the same level as in September.
Market Data | Nov 17, 2020
Architects face data, culture gaps in fighting climate change
New study outlines how building product manufacturers can best support architects in climate action.
Market Data | Nov 10, 2020
Construction association ready to work with president-elect Biden to prepare significant new infrastructure and recovery measures
Incoming president and congress should focus on enacting measures to rebuild infrastructure and revive the economy.
Market Data | Nov 9, 2020
Construction sector adds 84,000 workers in October
A growing number of project cancellations risks undermining future industry job gains.
Market Data | Nov 4, 2020
Drop in nonresidential construction offsets most residential spending gains as growing number of contractors report cancelled projects
Association officials warn that demand for nonresidential construction will slide further without new federal relief measures.
Market Data | Nov 2, 2020
Nonresidential construction spending declines further in September
Among the sixteen nonresidential subcategories, thirteen were down on a monthly basis.
Market Data | Nov 2, 2020
A white paper assesses seniors’ access to livable communities
The Joint Center for Housing Studies and AARP’s Public Policy Institute connect livability with income, race, and housing costs.
Market Data | Nov 2, 2020
More contractors report canceled projects than starts, survey finds
Construction employment declined in most metros in latest 12 months.
Multifamily Housing | Oct 30, 2020
The Weekly show: Multifamily security tips, the state of construction industry research, and AGC's market update
BD+C editors speak with experts from AGC, Charles Pankow Foundation, and Silva Consultants on the October 29 episode of "The Weekly." The episode is available for viewing on demand.
