Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu, American Institute of Architects (AIA) Chief Economist Kermit Baker and National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Chief Economist Robert Dietz predicted continued growth for the construction industry in 2017 during a joint economic forecast this week (download the PDF slidedeck; watch the archived presentation).
Each economist discussed leading, present, and future indicators for sector performance, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator (CBI), AIA’s latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) and Construction Consensus Forecast, and the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).
The economists’ comments can be read below.
Anirban Basu, ABC Chief Economist: "Nonresidential construction spending growth will continue into the next year with an estimated increase in the range of 3 to 4 percent. Growth will continue to be led by privately financed projects, with commercial construction continuing to lead the way. Energy-related construction will become less of a drag in 2017, while public spending will continue to be lackluster."
Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist: "Our forecast shows single-family production expanding by more than 10 percent in 2016, and the robust multifamily sector leveling off. Historically low mortgage interest rates and favorable demographics should keep the housing market moving forward at a gradual pace, but residential construction growth will be constrained by shortages of labor and lots and rising regulatory costs."
Kermit Baker, AIA Chief Economist: "Revenue at architecture firms continues to grow, so prospects for the construction industry remain solid over the next 12 to 18 months. Given current demographic trends, the single-family residential and the institutional building sectors have the greatest potential for further expansion at present."
Related Stories
Market Data | Feb 5, 2020
Construction employment increases in 211 out of 358 metro areas from December 2018 to 2019
Dallas-Plano-Irving, Texas and Kansas City have largest gains; New York City and Fairbanks, Alaska lag the most as labor shortages likely kept firms in many areas from adding even more workers.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2020
Construction spending dips in December as nonresidential losses offset housing pickup
Homebuilding strengthens but infrastructure and other nonresidential spending fades in recent months, reversing pattern in early 2019.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2020
IMEG Corp. acquires Clark Engineering
Founded in 1938 in Minneapolis, Clark Engineering has an extensive history of public and private project experience.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2020
U.S. economy expands 2.1% in 4th quarter
Investment in structures contracts.
Market Data | Jan 30, 2020
US construction & real estate industry sees a drop of 30.4% in deal activity in December 2019
A total of 48 deals worth $505.11m were announced in December 2019.
Market Data | Jan 29, 2020
Navigant research report finds global wind capacity value is expected to increase tenfold over the next decade
Wind power is being developed in more countries as well as offshore and onshore.
Market Data | Jan 28, 2020
What eight leading economists predict for nonresidential construction in 2020 and 2021
Public safety, education, and healthcare highlight a market that is entering growth-slowdown mode, but no downturn is projected, according to AIA's latest Consensus Construction Forecast panel.
Market Data | Jan 28, 2020
Los Angeles has the largest hotel construction pipeline in the United States
Los Angeles will have a growth rate of 2.5% with 19 new hotels/2,589 rooms opening.
Market Data | Jan 27, 2020
U.S. hotel construction pipeline finishes 2019 trending upward
Projects under construction continue to rise reaching an all-time high of 1,768 projects.
Market Data | Jan 24, 2020
U.S. Green Building Council releases the top 10 states for LEED
Colorado leads the nation, showing how LEED green buildings support climate action and a better quality of life.