Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu, American Institute of Architects (AIA) Chief Economist Kermit Baker and National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Chief Economist Robert Dietz predicted continued growth for the construction industry in 2017 during a joint economic forecast this week (download the PDF slidedeck; watch the archived presentation).
Each economist discussed leading, present, and future indicators for sector performance, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator (CBI), AIA’s latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) and Construction Consensus Forecast, and the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).
The economists’ comments can be read below.
Anirban Basu, ABC Chief Economist: "Nonresidential construction spending growth will continue into the next year with an estimated increase in the range of 3 to 4 percent. Growth will continue to be led by privately financed projects, with commercial construction continuing to lead the way. Energy-related construction will become less of a drag in 2017, while public spending will continue to be lackluster."
Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist: "Our forecast shows single-family production expanding by more than 10 percent in 2016, and the robust multifamily sector leveling off. Historically low mortgage interest rates and favorable demographics should keep the housing market moving forward at a gradual pace, but residential construction growth will be constrained by shortages of labor and lots and rising regulatory costs."
Kermit Baker, AIA Chief Economist: "Revenue at architecture firms continues to grow, so prospects for the construction industry remain solid over the next 12 to 18 months. Given current demographic trends, the single-family residential and the institutional building sectors have the greatest potential for further expansion at present."
Related Stories
Market Data | Jun 24, 2020
8 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 24, 2020
San Francisco's apartment market goes in reverse and WATG designs a solution for isolating without sacrificing social connectivity.
Market Data | Jun 23, 2020
National survey reveals pandemic's impact on college students' mental health, remote learning, families' income and more
Of 2,500 student respondents, 75% feel more anxious or stressed, 57% said they lost their summer jobs and 90% want to return to campus in the fall.
Market Data | Jun 23, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 23, 2020
Gyms are going bacnkrupt and leaving gaps in shopping centers and how hotels are trying to keep guests and employees safe.
Market Data | Jun 22, 2020
New House infrastructure package will provide needed investments in aging infrastructure, support economic recovery, and create jobs
The Moving Forward Act’s proposed $1.5 trillion in new investments will improve range of public infrastructure, creating needed demand for construction while making the economy more efficient.
Market Data | Jun 22, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 22, 2020
Construction employment rises from April to May in 45 states and the first building in the U.S. designed for post COVID-19 environment.
Market Data | Jun 22, 2020
Construction employment rises from April to May in 45 states, slips in 5
Rebound from April job losses reflects one-shot help from paycheck protection program loans and easing of stay-at-home orders, but cancellations and state and local deficits imply further cuts ahead.
Market Data | Jun 19, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 19, 2020
Brown University's first housing building in three decades and demand for family rentals expected to jump.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2020
New data shows construction activity returning to pre-coronavirus levels in many parts of the country
Association survey and data collected by Procore measure impacts of the pandemic, showing signs of a construction recovery, but labor shortages and project cancellations show industry needs federal help.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2020
AIA releases strategies and illustrations for reducing risk of COVID-19 in schools
For the 2020-21 school year, districts are facing the difficult task of determining if K-12 schools will reopen this fall.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 18, 2020
Northbrook's new cannabis dispensary and America's structural steel industry remains a success story.
