Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu, American Institute of Architects (AIA) Chief Economist Kermit Baker and National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Chief Economist Robert Dietz predicted continued growth for the construction industry in 2017 during a joint economic forecast this week (download the PDF slidedeck; watch the archived presentation).
Each economist discussed leading, present, and future indicators for sector performance, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator (CBI), AIA’s latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) and Construction Consensus Forecast, and the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).
The economists’ comments can be read below.
Anirban Basu, ABC Chief Economist: "Nonresidential construction spending growth will continue into the next year with an estimated increase in the range of 3 to 4 percent. Growth will continue to be led by privately financed projects, with commercial construction continuing to lead the way. Energy-related construction will become less of a drag in 2017, while public spending will continue to be lackluster."
Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist: "Our forecast shows single-family production expanding by more than 10 percent in 2016, and the robust multifamily sector leveling off. Historically low mortgage interest rates and favorable demographics should keep the housing market moving forward at a gradual pace, but residential construction growth will be constrained by shortages of labor and lots and rising regulatory costs."
Kermit Baker, AIA Chief Economist: "Revenue at architecture firms continues to grow, so prospects for the construction industry remain solid over the next 12 to 18 months. Given current demographic trends, the single-family residential and the institutional building sectors have the greatest potential for further expansion at present."
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 30, 2020
Marriott, Hilton, and IHG continue to dominate the U.S. hotel construction pipeline at Q2’20 close
Hilton’s Home2 Suites and IHG’s Holiday Inn Express continue to be the most prominent brands in the U.S. pipeline.
Market Data | Jul 30, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 30, 2020
Millennium Tower finally has a fix and construction costs decrease for the first time in 10 years.
Market Data | Jul 29, 2020
62% of metros shed construction jobs from June 2019 to June 2020 as Association calls for new infrastructure funding, other relief steps
New York City and Brockton-Bridgewater-Easton, Mass. have worst 12-month losses, while Austin and Walla Walla, Wash. top job gainers.
Market Data | Jul 29, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 29, 2020
The world's first net-zero airport and California utility adopts climate emergency declaration.
Market Data | Jul 28, 2020
For the fourth consecutive quarter, Los Angeles leads the U.S. hotel construction pipeline at the close of Q2’ 20
New York City continues to have the greatest number of projects under construction, with 106 projects/18,354 rooms.
Market Data | Jul 28, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 28, 2020
St. Petersburg Pier reconstruction completes and post-pandemic workplace design will not be the same for all.
Market Data | Jul 28, 2020
Senate Republicans' coronavirus relief measure includes provisions that will help hard-hit construction firms recover
The HEALS Act includes essential liability, workforce, financial & unemployment reforms, but association will work to get needed infrastructure investments included in final relief measure.
Market Data | Jul 27, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 27, 2020
Customized labs give universities a recruiting edge and the U.S. construction pipeline remains robust through the first half of 2020.
Market Data | Jul 27, 2020
The U.S. construction pipeline remains robust through the first half of 2020, despite pandemic
Projects currently under construction stand at 1,771 projects/235,467 rooms, up 3% and 1% respectively, YOY.
Market Data | Jul 24, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 24, 2020
North Carolina will stop relying on FEMA flood mapping and Cal Poly Pomona's newest project.
