Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Chief Economist Anirban Basu, American Institute of Architects (AIA) Chief Economist Kermit Baker and National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Chief Economist Robert Dietz predicted continued growth for the construction industry in 2017 during a joint economic forecast this week (download the PDF slidedeck; watch the archived presentation).
Each economist discussed leading, present, and future indicators for sector performance, including ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator (CBI), AIA’s latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) and Construction Consensus Forecast, and the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI).
The economists’ comments can be read below.
Anirban Basu, ABC Chief Economist: "Nonresidential construction spending growth will continue into the next year with an estimated increase in the range of 3 to 4 percent. Growth will continue to be led by privately financed projects, with commercial construction continuing to lead the way. Energy-related construction will become less of a drag in 2017, while public spending will continue to be lackluster."
Robert Dietz, NAHB Chief Economist: "Our forecast shows single-family production expanding by more than 10 percent in 2016, and the robust multifamily sector leveling off. Historically low mortgage interest rates and favorable demographics should keep the housing market moving forward at a gradual pace, but residential construction growth will be constrained by shortages of labor and lots and rising regulatory costs."
Kermit Baker, AIA Chief Economist: "Revenue at architecture firms continues to grow, so prospects for the construction industry remain solid over the next 12 to 18 months. Given current demographic trends, the single-family residential and the institutional building sectors have the greatest potential for further expansion at present."
Related Stories
Market Data | Jan 13, 2022
Materials prices soar 20% in 2021 despite moderating in December
Most contractors in association survey list costs as top concern in 2022.
Market Data | Jan 12, 2022
Construction firms forsee growing demand for most types of projects
Seventy-four percent of firms plan to hire in 2022 despite supply-chain and labor challenges.
Market Data | Jan 7, 2022
Construction adds 22,000 jobs in December
Jobless rate falls to 5% as ongoing nonresidential recovery offsets rare dip in residential total.
Market Data | Jan 6, 2022
Inflation tempers optimism about construction in North America
Rider Levett Bucknall’s latest report cites labor shortages and supply chain snags among causes for cost increases.
Market Data | Jan 6, 2022
A new survey offers a snapshot of New York’s construction market
Anchin’s poll of 20 AEC clients finds a “growing optimism,” but also multiple pressure points.
Market Data | Jan 3, 2022
Construction spending in November increases from October and year ago
Construction spending in November totaled $1.63 trillion at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.
Market Data | Dec 22, 2021
Two out of three metro areas add construction jobs from November 2020 to November 2021
Construction employment increased in 237 or 66% of 358 metro areas over the last 12 months.
Market Data | Dec 17, 2021
Construction jobs exceed pre-pandemic level in 18 states and D.C.
Firms struggle to find qualified workers to keep up with demand.
Market Data | Dec 15, 2021
Widespread steep increases in materials costs in November outrun prices for construction projects
Construction officials say efforts to address supply chain challenges have been insufficient.
Market Data | Dec 15, 2021
Demand for design services continues to grow
Changing conditions could be on the horizon.
