Lodging Econometrics reports that with 3,645 projects (totaling 460,551 rooms), the 2014 total U.S. lodging construction pipeline stands at its highest level in six years.
After a three-year bottoming formation, the pipeline has now posted five consecutive quarters of double-digit year-over-year (YOY) growth. In both the third and fourth quarters, increases were particularly impressive, exceeding 20%.
Although the breakout might appear robust, pipeline totals are still a long way from the peak of 5,438 projects/718,387 rooms set in 2007.
Projects under construction, the most important predictor of near-term supply growth, has catapulted forward to 1,086 projects/136,442 rooms—the highest level in more than five years. The number of units under construction is up 37% by projects and 34% by rooms (YOY).
Projects scheduled to start construction in the next 12 months have risen strongly, to 1,351 projects/160,061 rooms, up 17% and 13% YOY, respectively.
The growing number of projects in early planning is only just beginning. The cyclical bottom for projects in early planning just occurred in the second quarter of 2014. It bounced back smartly in the second half of the year, adding 221 projects, and ended 2014 at 1,208 projects/164,048 rooms.
Projects in early planning directly influence the number of hotels that will open three to five years outward. Projects that enter the pipeline in early planning are generally larger hotels in downtown or resort locations. Most are upscale select-service projects, while others are upper upscale and luxury full-service hotels that are frequently part of mixed-use developments.
Planning and permitting these larger, more complex projects is typically more protracted and also comes with longer construction periods. These projects generally open near the end of a real estate cycle, often times after the cycle has already peaked and begun to decline.
Project counts in early planning are expected to spurt forward over the next two to three years and make significant additions to new supply towards the end of the decade.
Related Stories
| Sep 13, 2013
Loews Hotels & Resorts announces major cross-portfolio upgrades
Loews Hotels & Resorts is currently in the midst of a major growth and property redesign initiative, reflecting a strong national trend in hospitality renovation.
| Sep 11, 2013
BUILDINGChicago eShow Daily – Day 3 coverage
Day 3 coverage of the BUILDINGChicago/Greening the Heartland conference and expo, taking place this week at the Holiday Inn Chicago Mart Plaza.
| Sep 10, 2013
BUILDINGChicago eShow Daily – Day 2 coverage
The BD+C editorial team brings you this real-time coverage of day 2 of the BUILDINGChicago/Greening the Heartland conference and expo taking place this week at the Holiday Inn Chicago Mart Plaza.
| Sep 4, 2013
Smart building technology: Talking results at the BUILDINGChicago/ Greening the Heartland show
Recent advancements in technology are allowing owners to connect with facilities as never before, leveraging existing automation systems to achieve cost-effective energy improvements. This BUILDINGChicago presentation will feature Procter & Gamble’s smart building management program.
| Sep 3, 2013
Delinquency rate for commercial real estate loans at lowest level in three years
The delinquency rate for US commercial real estate loans in CMBS dropped for the third straight month to 8.38%. This represents a 10-basis-point drop since July's reading and a 175-basis-point improvement from a year ago.
| Aug 26, 2013
What you missed last week: Architecture billings up again; record year for hotel renovations; nation's most expensive real estate markets
BD+C's roundup of the top construction market news for the week of August 18 includes the latest architecture billings index from AIA and a BOMA study on the nation's most and least expensive commercial real estate markets.
| Aug 22, 2013
Energy-efficient glazing technology [AIA Course]
This course discuses the latest technological advances in glazing, which make possible ever more efficient enclosures with ever greater glazed area.
| Aug 14, 2013
Green Building Report [2013 Giants 300 Report]
Building Design+Construction's rankings of the nation's largest green design and construction firms.
| Jul 31, 2013
Hotel, retail sectors bright spots of sluggish nonresidential construction market
A disappointing recovery of the U.S. economy is limiting need for new nonresidential building activity, said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker in the AIA's semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast, released today. As a result, AIA reduced its projections for 2013 spending to 2.3%.
| Jul 22, 2013
Top Hotel Construction Firms [2013 Giants 300 Report]
Manhattan Construction, Structure Tone, Lend Lease top Building Design+Construction's 2013 ranking of the largest hotel contractors and construction management firms in the U.S.
