The global construction industry is expected to grow by an average of 3.6% a year over the forecast period 2018 to 2022, according to GlobalData, a data and analytics company.
The company’s latest report, ‘Global Construction Outlook to 2022: Q3 2018 Update’ reveals that in real value terms*, global construction output is forecast to rise to $12.9 trillion by 2022, up from $10.8 trillion in 2017.
Danny Richards, Construction Lead Analyist at GlobalData, says, ‘‘We forecast that global construction output growth will accelerate to +3.6% in 2018, up from 3.1% in 2017, reflecting the recovery in the US as well as general improvements across emerging markets. In South and South-East Asia, for example, construction in India has regained growth momentum, while the pick-up in oil prices has supported the recovery in the Middle East and Africa.’’
The pace of global construction growth is set to improve slightly to 3.7% between 2019 and 2020, before easing back in the latter part of the forecast period, reflecting trends in some of the largest markets.
The Asia-Pacific region will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry, however the pace of growth will slow given the projected slowdown in China’s construction industry to an average of +4.2% between 2018 and 2022, offset by an acceleration in construction growth in India.
Construction activity is gathering momentum across Western Europe with the region’s output set to expand by 2.4% a year on average from 2018 to 2022. However, expansion in the UK is subject to major downside risks in the face of uncertainty over Brexit.
The Middle East and Africa region as a whole will be the fastest with an annual average growth of 6.4% from 2018 to 2022. Countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have suffered from the weakness in oil prices in recent years, greatly reducing government revenues. As oil prices pick up, however, large-scale investment in infrastructure projects - mostly related to transport - will be a key driving force behind the construction growth in the region.
Richards says, “Whilst there are intensifying downside risks for global construction related to global economic growth, notably stemming from the erupting trade war between the US and China, the global economy will continue to expand in the range of 2.5% to 3% a year from 2018 to 2022 which will support continued construction growth in key markets.’’
* ‘real value terms’ is measured from constant 2017 prices and US$ exchange rates
Related Stories
Market Data | Sep 2, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 2, 2020
Precast concrete tower honors United AIrlines Flight 93 victims and public and private nonresidential construction spending slumps.
Market Data | Sep 2, 2020
Public and private nonresidential construction spending slumps in July
Industry employment declines from July 2019 in two-thirds of metros.
Market Data | Aug 31, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 31, 2020
The world's first LEED Platinum integrated campus and reopening campus performance arts centers.
Market Data | Aug 21, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 21, 2020
Student housing in the COVID-19 era and wariness of elevators may stymie office reopening.
Market Data | Aug 20, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 20, 2020
Japan takes on the public restroom and a look at the evolution of retail.
Market Data | Aug 19, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 19, 2020
July architectural billings remained stalled and Florida becomes third state to adopt concrete repair code.
Market Data | Aug 18, 2020
July architectural billings remained stalled
Clients showed reluctance to sign contracts for new design projects during July.
Market Data | Aug 18, 2020
Nonresidential construction industry won’t start growing again until next year’s third quarter
But labor and materials costs are already coming down, according to latest JLL report.
Market Data | Aug 18, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 18, 2020
The world's first AI-driven facade system and LA's Greek Theatre restoriation completes.
Market Data | Aug 17, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: August 17, 2020
5 strategies for creating safer hotel experiences and how to manage multifamily assets when residents no longer leave.
