The global construction industry is expected to grow by an average of 3.6% a year over the forecast period 2018 to 2022, according to GlobalData, a data and analytics company.
The company’s latest report, ‘Global Construction Outlook to 2022: Q3 2018 Update’ reveals that in real value terms*, global construction output is forecast to rise to $12.9 trillion by 2022, up from $10.8 trillion in 2017.
Danny Richards, Construction Lead Analyist at GlobalData, says, ‘‘We forecast that global construction output growth will accelerate to +3.6% in 2018, up from 3.1% in 2017, reflecting the recovery in the US as well as general improvements across emerging markets. In South and South-East Asia, for example, construction in India has regained growth momentum, while the pick-up in oil prices has supported the recovery in the Middle East and Africa.’’
The pace of global construction growth is set to improve slightly to 3.7% between 2019 and 2020, before easing back in the latter part of the forecast period, reflecting trends in some of the largest markets.
The Asia-Pacific region will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry, however the pace of growth will slow given the projected slowdown in China’s construction industry to an average of +4.2% between 2018 and 2022, offset by an acceleration in construction growth in India.
Construction activity is gathering momentum across Western Europe with the region’s output set to expand by 2.4% a year on average from 2018 to 2022. However, expansion in the UK is subject to major downside risks in the face of uncertainty over Brexit.
The Middle East and Africa region as a whole will be the fastest with an annual average growth of 6.4% from 2018 to 2022. Countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have suffered from the weakness in oil prices in recent years, greatly reducing government revenues. As oil prices pick up, however, large-scale investment in infrastructure projects - mostly related to transport - will be a key driving force behind the construction growth in the region.
Richards says, “Whilst there are intensifying downside risks for global construction related to global economic growth, notably stemming from the erupting trade war between the US and China, the global economy will continue to expand in the range of 2.5% to 3% a year from 2018 to 2022 which will support continued construction growth in key markets.’’
* ‘real value terms’ is measured from constant 2017 prices and US$ exchange rates
Related Stories
Market Data | May 13, 2021
Proliferating materials price increases and supply chain disruptions squeeze contractors and threaten to undermine economic recovery
Producer price index data for April shows wide variety of materials with double-digit price increases.
Market Data | May 7, 2021
Construction employment stalls in April
Soaring costs, supply-chain challenges, and workforce shortages undermine industry's recovery.
Market Data | May 4, 2021
Nonresidential construction outlays drop in March for fourth-straight month
Weak demand, supply-chain woes make further declines likely.
Market Data | May 3, 2021
Nonresidential construction spending decreases 1.1% in March
Spending was down on a monthly basis in 11 of the 16 nonresidential subcategories.
Market Data | Apr 30, 2021
New York City market continues to lead the U.S. Construction Pipeline
New York City has the greatest number of projects under construction with 110 projects/19,457 rooms.
Market Data | Apr 29, 2021
U.S. Hotel Construction pipeline beings 2021 with 4,967 projects/622,218 rooms at Q1 close
Although hotel development may still be tepid in Q1, continued government support and the extension of programs has aided many businesses to get back on their feet as more and more are working to re-staff and re-open.
Market Data | Apr 28, 2021
Construction employment declines in 203 metro areas from March 2020 to March 2021
The decline occurs despite homebuilding boom and improving economy.
Market Data | Apr 20, 2021
The pandemic moves subs and vendors closer to technology
Consigli’s latest market outlook identifies building products that are high risk for future price increases.
Market Data | Apr 20, 2021
Demand for design services continues to rapidly escalate
AIA’s ABI score for March rose to 55.6 compared to 53.3 in February.
Market Data | Apr 16, 2021
Construction employment in March trails March 2020 mark in 35 states
Nonresidential projects lag despite hot homebuilding market.
