The deterioration in construction output growth across emerging markets has been worse than previously expected, particularly in the US and the Middle East. Therefore, the forecast for global construction output growth in 2019 has been revised down to 2.7%, which will be the slowest pace of growth in a decade, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.
GlobalData’s central forecast sees global construction output growth increase to 3.2% in 2020 and then stabilize at 3.4% over the remainder of the forecast period, which runs to 2023. According to the company’s latest report, ‘Global Construction Outlook to 2023 – Q3 2019 Update’, this is partly driven by a projected improvement in the global economy in 2020, which in turn relies on improvements in financial market sentiment and stabilization in some of the larger currently-troubled emerging markets.
Danny Richards, Lead Economist at GlobalData, comments: “Some major advanced economies have struggled to generate growth momentum, including the US, the UK and Australia. In China, where the authorities are stepping up investment in infrastructure to prevent a continued slowdown, growth will remain positive, contributing to a slight acceleration in growth in total output in the emerging markets.”
Richards continues: “Geopolitical risks are intensifying, which could potentially undermine investor confidence and disrupt capital flows in the early part of the forecast period. Risks to the overall forecast stem primarily from a possible escalation in the trade war between the US and China, as well as inflamed tensions between the US and Iran following the recent drone strikes on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil processing center, which were blamed on Iran.
“The emerging markets of South-East Asia will invest heavily in new infrastructure projects, supported by private investment, and this region will be the fastest growing, expanding by 6.4% between 2019 and 2023.”
Information based on GlobalData’s report: ‘Global Construction Outlook to 2023 – Q3 2019 Update.
Related Stories
Market Data | Sep 22, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 22, 2020
Construction employment declined in 39 states and no ease of lumber prices in sight.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2020
Washington is the US state with the most value of construction projects underway, says GlobalData
Of the top 10 largest projects in the Washington state, nine were in the execution stage as of August 2020.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2020
Construction employment declined in 39 states between August 2019 and 2020
31 states and DC added jobs between July and August.
Market Data | Sep 21, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 21, 2020
Four projects receive 202 AIA/ALA Library Building Award and Port San Antonio's new Innovation Center.
Market Data | Sep 18, 2020
Follow up survey of U.S. code officials demonstrates importance of continued investment in virtual capabilities
Existing needs highlight why supporting building and fire prevention departments at the federal, state, and local levels is critical.
Market Data | Sep 18, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 18, 2020
Sagrada Familia completion date pushed back and energy code appeals could hamper efficiency progress.
Market Data | Sep 17, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 17, 2020
Foster + Partners-designed hospital begins construction in Cairo and heat pumps are the future for hot water.
Market Data | Sep 16, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 16, 2020
REI sells unused HQ building and Adjaye Associates will design The Africa Institute.
Market Data | Sep 15, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 15, 2020
Energy efficiency considerations for operating buildings during a pandemic and is there really a glass box paradox?
Market Data | Sep 14, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: September 14, 2020
63% of New York's restaurants could be gone by 2021 and new weapons in the apartment amenities arms race.
