The enthusiasm that surged through the U.S. engineering industry following the election of Donald Trump has moderated, according the latest survey of engineering firm leaders by the American Council of Engineering Companies (ACEC).
The first quarter 2017 (Q1/17) of ACEC’s Engineering Business Index (EBI) dipped slightly (0.5 points) to 66.0. The decline is minimal and the score remains decidedly positive, but is in contrast to the 4th quarter 2016 EBI in which, fueled by Trump’s promises of lower taxes, infrastructure investment, and regulatory reform, the score jumped 5.1 points—the largest quarterly increase in the survey’s three-year history.
Now however, with the Administration slow to implement any of these polices, engineering firm leader confidence seems to have plateaued.
The EBI is a leading indicator of America’s economic health based on the business performance and projections of U.S. engineering firms that develop the nation’s transportation, water, energy and industrial infrastructure. The EBI is a diffusion index. The index mean is 50, with scores above 50 indicating business expansion, and scores below 50 indicating contraction. The Q1/17 survey was conducted March 23 to April 24 of 378 U.S. engineering firm leaders.
When comparing today’s market conditions to six months ago, the EBI score climbed 3.2 point to 66.8; while current backlog compared to six months ago was up a strong 5.1 points to 67.1. Additionally, short-term (six-month) expectations for profitability increased 3.5 points to 72.5 points.
Other EBI results however, clearly reflect engineering leader marketplace ambiguity. Market expectations for one year from today fell 2.6 points to 69.5; profitability expectations for the same period were flat (72.9); but looking out three years, expectations fell 2.4 points, and anticipated backlog fell 1.1 points to 70.4.
Concerns about long-term marketplace health resulted in significant declines in nine of the 12 primary public and private sector engineering markets.
For more information about the Q1/17 EBI, go to www.acec.org.
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 21, 2022
Despite deteriorating economic conditions, nonresidential construction spending projected to increase through 2023
Construction spending on buildings is projected to increase just over nine percent this year and another six percent in 2023, according to a new report from the American Institute of Architects (AIA).
Mixed-Use | Jul 21, 2022
Former Los Angeles Macy’s store converted to mixed-use commercial space
Work to convert the former Westside Pavilion Macy's department store in West Los Angeles to a mixed-use commercial campus recently completed.
Building Team | Jul 20, 2022
San Francisco overtakes Tokyo as the world’s most expensive city for construction
San Francisco has overtaken Tokyo as the world’s most expensive city for construction, according to a new report from Turner & Townsend.
Libraries | Jul 20, 2022
Canada to open one of the world’s largest library and archive facilities
When it opens in 2026, Ādisōke is expected to be one of the largest library and archive facilities in the world.
Energy-Efficient Design | Jul 19, 2022
All is not lost: 3 ways architects can respond to the Supreme Court’s EPA ruling
The U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling to limit the Environmental Protection Agency’s power to regulate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from power plants dealt a significant blow to our ability to fight the climate crisis with federal policy.
Office Buildings | Jul 19, 2022
Austin adaptive reuse project transforms warehouse site into indoor-outdoor creative office building
Fifth and Tillery, an adaptive reuse project, has revitalized a post-industrial site in East Austin, Texas.
Women in Design+Construction | Jul 18, 2022
Registration is open for BD+C's 2022 Women in Design+Construction Conference
Join your AEC industry peers in Chicago, September 26-28, 2022, for the 7th annual Women in Design+Construction Conference, hosted by the BD+C editorial team and the 35-person WIDC Advisory Board.
Airports | Jul 18, 2022
FAA will award nearly $1 billion for airport projects
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will award nearly $1 billion to 85 airports of all sizes across the country to improve terminals.
Building Team | Jul 18, 2022
Understanding the growing design-build market
FMI’s new analysis of the design-build market forecast for the next fives years shows that this delivery method will continue to grow, despite challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Mixed-Use | Jul 18, 2022
Mixed-use development outside Prague uses a material made from leftover bricks
Outside Prague, the Sugar Factory, a mixed-used residential development with public space, marks the largest project to use the sustainable material Rebetong.