National nonresidential construction spending fell 1.8% in February, but is up 2.5% compared to the same time last year, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published today by the U.S. Census Bureau. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, spending totaled $795.1 billion for the month.
Private nonresidential spending declined 2% on a monthly basis and is down 0.7% compared to February 2019. Public nonresidential construction spending was down 1.5% for the month, but is up 7.2% on a year-over-year basis.
“Data characterizing the economy prior to the coronavirus outbreak continues to trickle in,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “While nonresidential construction spending declined in February, according to today’s data release, the decline was modest and overall performance was not substantially different from prior months.
“However, with communities in Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, California and elsewhere recently shutting down certain construction projects in an effort to better support social distancing and with economic activity generally grinding toward a halt, the construction spending data will undoubtedly deteriorate further and faster during the months to come,” said Basu. “Unfortunately, that is not where the pain will end. Once the crisis is over, hotel chains will be weaker financially, more storefronts will be empty and fewer employers will be interested in relocating to high-end office space, which will result in diminished demand for nonresidential construction services even after the broader economy comes back to life.
“Typically, nonresidential construction holds up better during the early stages of a downturn as contractors continue to work through their collective backlog, which stood at 8.9 months in January 2020, according to ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator,” said Basu. “That may still be the case, but, given growing liquidity and solvency problems spreading through the economy, it is quite likely that many construction projects presently on the drawing board will be postponed or canceled. Backlog may disappear quickly as project owners resort to the use of force majeure clauses or other mechanisms to back out of contractual obligations. Time will tell, and eventually the extent to which projects are delayed will be reflected in the construction spending data.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 11, 2018
Construction material prices increase steadily in June
June represents the latest month associated with rapidly rising construction input prices.
Market Data | Jun 26, 2018
Yardi Matrix examines potential regional multifamily supply overload
Outsize development activity in some major metros could increase vacancy rates and stagnate rent growth.
Market Data | Jun 22, 2018
Multifamily market remains healthy – Can it be sustained?
New report says strong economic fundamentals outweigh headwinds.
Market Data | Jun 21, 2018
Architecture firm billings strengthen in May
Architecture Billings Index enters eighth straight month of solid growth.
Market Data | Jun 20, 2018
7% year-over-year growth in the global construction pipeline
There are 5,952 projects/1,115,288 rooms under construction, up 8% by projects YOY.
Market Data | Jun 19, 2018
ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator remains elevated in first quarter of 2018
The CBI shows highlights by region, industry, and company size.
Market Data | Jun 19, 2018
America’s housing market still falls short of providing affordable shelter to many
The latest report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies laments the paucity of subsidies to relieve cost burdens of ownership and renting.
Market Data | Jun 18, 2018
AI is the path to maximum profitability for retail and FMCG firms
Leading retailers including Amazon, Alibaba, Lowe’s and Tesco are developing their own AI solutions for automation, analytics and robotics use cases.
Market Data | Jun 12, 2018
Yardi Matrix report details industrial sector's strength
E-commerce and biopharmaceutical companies seeking space stoke record performances across key indicators.
Market Data | Jun 8, 2018
Dodge Momentum Index inches up in May
May’s gain was the result of a 4.7% increase by the commercial component of the Momentum Index.