National nonresidential construction spending fell 1.8% in February, but is up 2.5% compared to the same time last year, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published today by the U.S. Census Bureau. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, spending totaled $795.1 billion for the month.
Private nonresidential spending declined 2% on a monthly basis and is down 0.7% compared to February 2019. Public nonresidential construction spending was down 1.5% for the month, but is up 7.2% on a year-over-year basis.
“Data characterizing the economy prior to the coronavirus outbreak continues to trickle in,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “While nonresidential construction spending declined in February, according to today’s data release, the decline was modest and overall performance was not substantially different from prior months.
“However, with communities in Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, California and elsewhere recently shutting down certain construction projects in an effort to better support social distancing and with economic activity generally grinding toward a halt, the construction spending data will undoubtedly deteriorate further and faster during the months to come,” said Basu. “Unfortunately, that is not where the pain will end. Once the crisis is over, hotel chains will be weaker financially, more storefronts will be empty and fewer employers will be interested in relocating to high-end office space, which will result in diminished demand for nonresidential construction services even after the broader economy comes back to life.
“Typically, nonresidential construction holds up better during the early stages of a downturn as contractors continue to work through their collective backlog, which stood at 8.9 months in January 2020, according to ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator,” said Basu. “That may still be the case, but, given growing liquidity and solvency problems spreading through the economy, it is quite likely that many construction projects presently on the drawing board will be postponed or canceled. Backlog may disappear quickly as project owners resort to the use of force majeure clauses or other mechanisms to back out of contractual obligations. Time will tell, and eventually the extent to which projects are delayed will be reflected in the construction spending data.”
Related Stories
Market Data | Sep 10, 2019
Apartment buildings and their residents contribute $3.4 trillion to the national economy
New data show how different aspects of the apartment industry positively impact national, state and local economies.
Market Data | Sep 3, 2019
Nonresidential construction spending slips in July 2019, but still surpasses $776 billion
Construction spending declined 0.3% in July, totaling $776 billion on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis.
Industry Research | Aug 29, 2019
Construction firms expect labor shortages to worsen over the next year
A new AGC-Autodesk survey finds more companies turning to technology to support their jobsites.
Market Data | Aug 21, 2019
Architecture Billings Index continues its streak of soft readings
Decline in new design contracts suggests volatility in design activity to persist.
Market Data | Aug 19, 2019
Multifamily market sustains positive cycle
Year-over-year growth tops 3% for 13th month. Will the economy stifle momentum?
Market Data | Aug 16, 2019
Students say unclean restrooms impact their perception of the school
The findings are part of Bradley Corporation’s Healthy Hand Washing Survey.
Market Data | Aug 12, 2019
Mid-year economic outlook for nonresidential construction: Expansion continues, but vulnerabilities pile up
Emerging weakness in business investment has been hinting at softening outlays.
Market Data | Aug 7, 2019
National office vacancy holds steady at 9.7% in slowing but disciplined market
Average asking rental rate posts 4.2% annual growth.
Market Data | Aug 1, 2019
Nonresidential construction spending slows in June, remains elevated
Among the 16 nonresidential construction spending categories tracked by the Census Bureau, seven experienced increases in monthly spending.
Market Data | Jul 31, 2019
For the second quarter of 2019, the U.S. hotel construction pipeline continued its year-over-year growth spurt
The growth spurt continued even as business investment declined for the first time since 2016.