Following the announcement by the US Bureau of Statistics that construction spending fell by 2.1% in May from a month earlier:
Dariana Tani, Economist at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers her view on the situation:
“May’s construction spending data shows the ongoing weakness in the US construction industry amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, construction spending was driven down by a decline in spending on private construction projects offsetting an increase in spending on public projects.
“GlobalData expects the US construction industry to contract by -6.5% in 2020 and -2% in 2021, down from the previous growth forecast of 0.6% and 1.4% before the COVID-19 pandemic started. Sectors such as commercial, residential and industrial are anticipated to be the hardest hit amid the collapse in business and consumer confidence, while sectors such as institutional and infrastructure will also be affected although to a lesser extent.
“As Congress and the White House contemplate the next phase of yet another unprecedented government response to limit the economic impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, Democrats and President Donald Trump are increasingly raising the prospects of passing a multi-trillion dollar infrastructure plan that could generate millions of jobs and stimulate the economy and the construction industry. However, key risks remain. With the number of new COVID-19 cases surging across the country, as many states are reopening their economies, the construction industry is expected to continue to decline over the coming months.
“A second wave in the second half of 2020 and the potential increase of caseloads in underserved communities could put at risk the recovery of the labor market and increase the risk that the pandemic could result in long-lasting damage to the economy as new lockdown restrictions will have to be put in place again. Furthermore, heightening political uncertainty over the upcoming presidential election, lower oil prices, and financial volatility are other factors that could undermine confidence.”
Related Stories
Market Data | May 12, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 12, 2020
A 13-point plan to reduce coronavirus deaths in nursing homes and Bjarke Ingels discusses building on Mars.
Market Data | May 11, 2020
Interest in eSports is booming amid COVID-19
The industry has proved largely immune to the COVID-19 pandemic due to its prompt transition into online formats and sudden spike in interest from traditional sports organizations.
Market Data | May 11, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 11, 2020
Nashville residential tower will rise 416 feet and the construction industry loses 975,000 jobs.
Market Data | May 8, 2020
Construction industry loses 975,000 jobs in April as new association survey shows deteriorating demand for construction projects
Association partner Procore also releases near real-time construction data measuring impacts of coronavirus as association calls for new measures.
Market Data | May 8, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 8, 2020
The death of the office and Colorado's first multifamily project to receive WELL Precertification.
Market Data | May 7, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 7, 2020
5 memory care communities with a strong sense of mission and making jobsites safer in the COVID-19 world.
Market Data | May 6, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 6, 2020
5 questions engineers will ask after COVID-19 and coronavirus threatens push for denser housing.
Market Data | May 5, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 5, 2020
A new temporary hospital pops up in N.J., and apartment firms' reactivation plans begin to take shape.
Market Data | May 4, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: May 4, 2020
How working from home is influencing design and is this the end of the open office?
Market Data | May 4, 2020
The Los Angeles market continue to lead the U.S. hotel construction pipeline at the close of the first quarter of 2020
Nationally, under construction project counts hit a new all-time high with 1,819 projects with 243,100 rooms.