Today, more than half of the world lives in an urban area. By 2050, this number is expected to increase to some two-thirds of the world’s population, according to the United Nations. While this may lead to overcrowding in cities, and overuse of resources, it also presents companies in the construction industry with major opportunities for growth.
GlobalData tracks large-scale construction projects in all sectors, and following a recent assessment of project pipelines in major cities worldwide, it has compiled a listing of 50 “Construction Mega Cities” for 2019, each having a pipeline of projects with an investment value above US$30bn. The combined value of the project pipelines in these cities stands at US$5.3 trillion, and includes over 8,200 projects at various stages of development, from announced to execution.
From 2007 to 2025, GlobalData expects the cities’ combined gross domestic product (GDP) to increase by more than US$8 trillion to US$20.4 trillion. They will be home to an estimated 527 million inhabitants, many being in China and other emerging markets that are witnessing a fast pace of urbanization. GlobalData projects that average per capita GDP in these cities will rise from US$1,791 in 2007 to US$2,263 in 2025, in real terms.
Dubai remains at the top of the list of ‘Construction Mega Cities’, with total project values amounting to US$611.2bn, ahead of London in second place (US$342.9bn) and New York in third (US$285.2bn), while Moscow slipped to fifth place (US$201.4bn) when compared to the 2018 rankings. Seven new cities have made it to the 2019 list, namely Istanbul, Tokyo, Fuzhou, Zurich, Atlanta, Zhengzhou and Las Vegas. The combined value of the project pipelines for those new entrants stand at US$379.75bn, and includes 505 projects at various stages of development. The Asia-Pacific region dominates the list, accounting for 25 of the 50 cities, and has a combined projects pipeline valued at US$2.1 trillion.
Yasmine Ghozzi, Economist at GlobalData, comments: “Of the 50 ‘Construction Mega Cities’, 29 are considered to be in emerging markets. The rapid growth of cities in the emerging regions reflects both above-average population and per-capita GDP growth. The population of those 29 emerging-region cities will reach an estimated 327 million by 2025, at an annual increase of 1.8% from 237 million in 2007. At the same time, GlobalData projects that the real GDP per capita (measured in real terms) in these emerging urban centers will increase by 2.4% from US$520,854 to US$820,311 between 2007 and 2025.”
Ghozzi adds: “Reflecting the varied levels of economic size, there are major differences among the 50 ‘Construction Mega Cities’ in terms of the value of the project pipelines compared to the size of the economies. Some major cities in the Middle Eastern Gulf states, namely Dubai, Doha and Kuwait City, along with Cairo, secured their spots in the top ten in terms of spending on mega projects relative to the size of their economies. The construction sectors in these cities are expected to be key drivers of economic growth in years to come. However, Dubai’s economy is expected to grow by 1.3% in real terms in 2019 reflecting the completion of many infrastructure projects related to Expo 2020 Dubai.”
Ghozzi continues: “Mumbai has the fastest-growing city economy owing, in part, to the government’s thrust on infrastructure. Supporting continued growth, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) announced in November 2019 that it had approved an investment of US$575m in suburban railways and renewable energy sector in Mumbai, taking to its total commitment in India to nearly US$3bn. It will extend a long-term project loan to Mumbai Urban Transport Corporation for US$500m, while the remaining US$75m will be invested in Tata Cleantech Capital to boost renewable energy, power transmission and water infrastructure.”
Related Stories
| Aug 2, 2013
Threat of more powerful coastal storms could curtail development
Led by Stanford University’s Natural Capital Project, researchers mapped the intensity of hazards posed to communities living along America’s coastlines from rising seas and ferocious storms now and in the decades to come.
| Jul 26, 2013
AGC launches new coalition to help bring tax relief to construction sector
Associated General Contractor of America (AGC) has launched the Coalition for Fair Effective Tax Rates to bring tax relief to the construction sector.
| Jul 26, 2013
Legislation would revamp federal contracting policy impacting small design and construction firms
Legislation was introduced in the U.S. House of Representative this month to ban reverse auctions when an agency determines small businesses are qualified to bid on the solicitation.
| Jul 26, 2013
Detroit’s problems may make blue infrastructure codes more likely
The City of Detroit’s financial problems may make it more likely to adopt blue infrastructure standards.
| Jul 26, 2013
Cities should reconsider rooming houses to build affordable housing stock, says expert
Building codes have effectively outlawed the bottom end of the private housing market, driving up rents on everything above it, argues the Sightline Institute's Alan Durning.
| Jul 17, 2013
WorldGBC, IFC pledge to rapidly scale up green construction in emerging markets
IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, and the World Green Building Council (WorldGBC) are collaborating to rapidly scale up the construction of green buildings in emerging markets.
| Jul 17, 2013
Louisiana governor signs $250 million bill for 29 community college projects
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal signed into law this month a bill that provides $251.6 million for 29 projects at Louisiana Community and Technical College campuses.
| Jul 17, 2013
U.S. House continues to block enforcement of light bulb standards
The House of Representatives last week voted to block the enforcement of light bulb standards that many say would effectively force people to buy more expensive compact fluorescent bulbs.
| Jul 17, 2013
Should city parking space requirements be abolished?
Some cities are deliberately discouraging construction of new parking spaces by allowing the construction of buildings with a lower ratio of parking spaces to dwellings (as low as 0.75 spaces per residence).
| Jul 17, 2013
EPA continues work on new federal stormwater regulations that are expected to impact development
The Environmental Protection Agency continues to develop new stormwater regulations that are expected to force project developers to write stormwater considerations into designs.
