Developers of multifamily apartment buildings remain mostly positive about their markets’ current conditions, according to the latest quarterly tracking data that the National Association of Home Builders released on February 26.
NAHB’s Multifamily Production Index (MPI), based on responses from 93 developers across the country, stood at 54, on a scale of 0 to 100, in the fourth quarter of 2014. The Index—a composite measure of developer sentiments about construction for low-rent units, market-rate rentals, and for-sale condos—registered above 50 for each quarter last year, and has been hovering at 50 or higher since the first quarter of 2013.
The latest reading “is in line with our view that the multifamily segment of the industry has largely recovered from the downturn,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “After increasing steadily over the past several years, multifamily production has now reached a healthy, sustainable level.”
Developers’ attitudes are also reflected in their willingness to take on future projects. In January, permits issued for buildings with five or more units rose by 13.8% to an annualized rate of 372,000, according to the Census Bureau.
A closer look at the numbers finds that developers’ sentiments about current conditions for market-rate starts, at an index of 62, were more robust than their sentiments for either low-rent starts (52) or for-sale condo starts (50).
NAHB’s Vacancy Index, which measures the industry’s perception about apartment vacancies, stood at 39 in the fourth quarter of 2014, compared to 38 for the same quarter a year earlier. (The lower the index, the fewer the perceived vacancies.) Interestingly, developers perceived lower vacancies for Class B apartments compared to either Class A or C apartments.
Developers’ attitudes are also reflected in their willingness to take on future projects. In January, permits issued for buildings with five or more units rose by 13.8% to an annualized rate of 372,000, according to preliminary estimates released by the Census Bureau on February 18.
Multifamily starts in January were up 24.5% over the same month a year earlier to an annualized rate of 381,000 units. In 2015, NAHB expects multifamily starts ultimately to increase modestly to around 358,000. “Because of strong job growth, we expect to be able to keep building for the foreseeable future,” said W. Dean Henry, CEO of Legacy Partners Residential in Foster City, Calif., and chairman of NAHB’s Multifamily Leadership Board.
Financing projects should not be an issue, as more lenders are jumping into this sector. Banks and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities lenders increased their market share of lending for multifamily projects through 2014, and are expected to be even bigger players this year, as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac pull back. “Capital is plentiful and many lenders are expanding their target markets for investments,” observed Faron Thompson, head of Jones Lang LaSalle’s multifamily debt finance team.
It’s worth noting, though, that Fannie and Freddie expect demand for multifamily housing to soften a bit over the next two years, and for most of the growth to occur in a limited number of metro markets.
Related Stories
| Jan 24, 2014
Urban Land Institute, Enterprise outline issues in rental housing shortage: Report
Bending the Cost Curve: Solutions to Expand the Supply of Affordable Rentals outlines factors that impede the development of affordable rental housing – causing the supply in many markets to fall far short of the demand.
| Jan 22, 2014
SOM-designed University Center uses 'sky quads,' stacked staircases to promote chance encounters
The New School's vertical campus in Manhattan houses multiple functions, including labs, design studios, a library, and student residences, in a 16-story building.
| Jan 13, 2014
Custom exterior fabricator A. Zahner unveils free façade design software for architects
The web-based tool uses the company's factory floor like "a massive rapid prototype machine,” allowing designers to manipulate designs on the fly based on cost and other factors, according to CEO/President Bill Zahner.
| Jan 8, 2014
Strengthened sprinkler rules could aid push for mid-rise wood structures in Canada
Strengthened sprinkler regulations proposed for the 2015 National Building Code of Canada (NBCC) could help a movement to allow midrise wood structures.
Smart Buildings | Jan 7, 2014
9 mega redevelopments poised to transform the urban landscape
Slowed by the recession—and often by protracted negotiations—some big redevelopment plans are now moving ahead. Here’s a sampling of nine major mixed-use projects throughout the country.
| Jan 3, 2014
World’s tallest vegetated façade to sprout in Sri Lanka [slideshow]
Set to open in late 2015, the 46-story Clearpoint Residences condo tower will feature planted terraces circling the entire structure.
| Dec 31, 2013
BD+C's top 10 stories of 2013
The world's tallest twisting tower and the rise of augmented reality technology in construction were among the 10 most popular articles posted on Building Design+Construction's website, BDCnetwork.com.
| Dec 27, 2013
$1 billion 'city within a city' development approved by Coachella, Calif., city council
The mega development includes 7,800 homes, a retail center, office space, and nearly 350 acres of open space.
| Dec 23, 2013
MBI commends start of module setting at B2, world's tallest modular building
The first modules have been set at B2 residential tower at Atlantic Yards in New York, set to become the tallest modular building in the world.
| Dec 20, 2013
Can energy hogs still be considered efficient buildings? Yes, say engineers at Buro Happold
A new tool from the engineering firm Buro Happold takes into account both energy and economic performance of buildings for a true measure of efficiency.
