Confidence among U.S. construction industry leaders held steady in December 2019 after surging in November, according to the Associated Builders and Contractors Construction Confidence Index released today. The average American contractor entered 2020 with confidence: Sales expectations, profit margins and staffing levels all remained above the growth expectations threshold, indicating a strong start to 2020.
70% of contractors expect their sales to increase over the first half of 2020, while nearly the same percentage of contractors expect to increase their staffing levels. Nearly half of contractors expect their profit margins to increase, while just 12% expect them to decline over the next two quarters.
- The CCI for sales expectations decreased from 69.5 to 68.8 in December.
- The CCI for profit margin expectations decreased from 61.3 to 60.
- The CCI for staffing levels increased from 66.9 to 67.2
“The U.S. economy is humming, and among the principal beneficiaries of that performance are nonresidential contractors,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Sales expectations, despite inching a bit lower in December, remain especially robust, with seven in 10 survey respondents expecting sales increases and fewer than one in 10 expecting their sales to decline during the first half of 2020. Recently released data regarding construction spending and hiring in the U.S. strongly suggest that this confidence is justified. ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator dipped in December but still indicates that contractors remain busy.
“Despite broad optimism regarding sales prospects, contractors’ expectations are somewhat more subdued regarding profit margins,” said Basu. “Though materials prices have been generally stable and energy prices have declined recently, workers are becoming more expensive, both in terms of wages and benefits. Shortfalls in the skilled trades are apparent throughout the nation, especially in the booming markets of the South and West. With U.S. unemployment hovering near a 50-year low, many construction workers may find opportunities in other segments, including logistics, and retirement rates remain elevated. All of this translates into ongoing increases in compensation costs and a squeeze on margins.”
CCI is a diffusion index. Readings above 50 indicate growth, while readings below 50 are unfavorable.
Related Stories
Market Data | Jul 1, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: July 1, 2020
Facebook to build $800 million data center and 329 metro areas added construction jobs in May.
Market Data | Jun 30, 2020
AIA releases strategies and illustrations for reducing risk of COVID-19 in senior living communities
Resources were developed as part of AIA’s “Reopening America: Strategies for Safer Buildings” initiative.
Market Data | Jun 30, 2020
329 metro areas added construction jobs in May
Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, Wash. added the most construction jobs (28,600, 44%) in May.
Market Data | Jun 29, 2020
6 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 29, 2020
HQ tower features gardens on every floor and the head of Hilton talks about how his business will survive.
Market Data | Jun 26, 2020
5 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 26, 2020
Restoration of 1930s El Paso hotel completes and Arc offers tools, analytics for safe workplace re-entry.
Market Data | Jun 25, 2020
Commercial Construction Index drops amid Coronavirus pandemic, but contractors poised for near-term recovery
Contractors quickly prioritized worker health and safety, and 1 in 3 plan to hire more workers in the next 6 months.
Market Data | Jun 25, 2020
7 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 25, 2020
CDC to build the most advanced high containment laboratory in the country and architecture billings downward trajectory moderates.
Market Data | Jun 24, 2020
Architecture billings downward trajectory moderates
AIA’s Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score for May was 32.0 compared to 29.5 in April, but still represents a significant decrease in services provided by U.S. architecture firms.
Market Data | Jun 24, 2020
8 must reads for the AEC industry today: June 24, 2020
San Francisco's apartment market goes in reverse and WATG designs a solution for isolating without sacrificing social connectivity.
Market Data | Jun 23, 2020
National survey reveals pandemic's impact on college students' mental health, remote learning, families' income and more
Of 2,500 student respondents, 75% feel more anxious or stressed, 57% said they lost their summer jobs and 90% want to return to campus in the fall.