Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Propelled by increasing economic optimism, commercial real estate industry executives say geographic expansion will be a key focus over the coming year, according to a recent survey conducted by KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm.

In the 2013 KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey, 58 percent of executives said they expect their company to increase spending most on geographic expansion, up from 21 percent in last year’s survey and 11 percent from KPMG’s 2011 survey.

In the United States, executives most frequently cited the Southwest (45 percent) and the Northeast (36 percent) regions as the best commercial real estate investment opportunities. Latin America (32 percent) and Asia Pacific (21 percent) were identified as the top real estate investment opportunities outside of the United States.

“Market expansion is an important focus for commercial real estate executives as they strive to grow the top line,” said Greg Williams, national leader of KPMG LLP’s Real Estate practice. “Domestically, the Southwest and Northeast are attractive markets because they are experiencing higher job and economic growth and thus have experienced a faster recovery, with property prices in select sub-markets within these regions at or above pre-recession levels.”

Development Trends

When asked how much new development is expected to commence in the United States in 2014, multi-family was identified as the top sector with 43 percent of respondents expecting “a significant amount” to launch, down from 51 percent in last year’s survey which significantly outpaced other asset classes. Nineteen percent expect a significant amount of development in retail in 2014, up from five percent in last year’s survey, while 18 percent expect a significant amount of development in hospitality, up from seven percent in last year’s survey.

“Multi-family is still the darling, but all sectors are expected to see an increase in new development as access to financing has improved for these projects, and executives are more optimistic about the economy’s growth prospects,” said Williams.

Seventy-two percent of respondents expect the U.S. economy to either moderately or significantly improve over the next year, up from 58 percent in last year’s survey. Additionally, 84 percent said their companies’ revenue increased over the past year, while the same percentage expects it to increase next year as well.

Revenue Drivers

Acquisitions (53 percent), improving real estate fundamentals (44 percent), and geographic expansion (38 percent) were selected as the top three drivers for revenue growth of the respondents’ companies over the next three years. Class A assets in primary markets (48 percent) and development opportunities (25 percent) were identified by commercial real estate executives as the top assets they would be in the market to acquire in the next year.

“While some markets are still stabilizing post-recession, there’s a flight to safety and security, and class A assets in primary markets continue to be the surest bets,” said Phil Marra, Northeast leader of KPMG’s Real Estate practice. “In some cases, however, we are seeing fresh approaches, such as new REITs forming to address opportunities in the single-family-home rental market.”

Twenty-five percent of those surveyed said their organization is finding an ample supply of quality properties that can deliver a sufficient return at reasonable prices, with another 60 percent saying their organization is not able to find quality properties at reasonable prices.

“Given that pricing is critical to producing sufficient yields, executives are being very selective as the availability of distressed assets has slowed,” added Marra.

Pricing pressures (32 percent), lack of customer demand (30 percent), and regulatory and legislative pressure (24 percent) were cited as the most significant growth barriers over the next year.

Political and Regulatory Uncertainty

When asked to identify the issues posing the biggest threat to business models, 40 percent of executives indicated political and regulatory uncertainty as their top concern. Thirty-three percent of respondents said they did not know how evolving Federal tax policy would impact their organization’s business strategy, while 27 percent said it would decrease their capital investment. Additionally, 67 percent said that their company was only somewhat prepared to proactively manage the impact of public policy and regulatory changes.

“The political and regulatory environment continues to pose challenges and uncertainty,” said Williams. “To maximize their success, organizations should assess how potential regulations and tax policy changes will impact their businesses, and proactively manage those impacts.”

The KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey

The KPMG survey was completed in spring of 2013 and reflects the responses of 100 senior executives in the commercial real estate industry. Based on revenue in the most recent fiscal year, 8 percent of respondents work for companies with annual revenues exceeding $10 billion, 36 percent with annual revenues in the $1 billion to $10 billion range, and 56 percent with revenues in the $100 million to $1 billion range.

About KPMG LLP

KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm (www.kpmg.com/us), is the U.S. member firm of KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”). KPMG International’s member firms have 152,000 professionals, including more than 8,600 partners, in 156 countries.

The Coil Coatings division of Sherwin-Williams has released its latest color forecast, FUSE, for architectural metal coatings. The report aims to inspire architects, product manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the coil and extrusion market over the next 3-5 years and beyond.

Terminal 2 of India’s Kempegowda International Airport is built around extensive indoor-outdoor landscaping. Rendering: Atchain|SOM

Airports | Apr 18, 2023

India's mammoth new airport terminal takes ‘back to nature’ seriously

On January 15, 2023, Phase 1 of the Kempegowda International Airport’s Terminal 2, in Bengaluru, India, began domestic operations. The 2.75 million-sf building, designed by Skidmore, Owings & Merrill (SOM), is projected to process 25 million passengers annually, while providing its travelers with a healthier environment, thanks to extensive indoor-outdoor landscaping that offers serenity to what is normally a frenzied experience.

Resiliency | Apr 18, 2023

AI-simulated hurricanes could aid in designing more resilient buildings

Researchers at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) have devised a new method of digitally simulating hurricanes in an effort to create more resilient buildings. A recent study asserts that the simulations can accurately represent the trajectory and wind speeds of a collection of actual storms.

USGBC and IWBI unveil streamlined certification pathway for LEED and WELL. Photo by Scott Webb

Green | Apr 18, 2023

USGBC and IWBI unveil streamlined certification pathway for LEED and WELL green building programs

The U.S. Green Building Council, Green Business Certification Inc., and the International WELL Building Institute released a streamlined process for projects pursuing certifications for the LEED green building rating system and the WELL Building Standard. The new protocol simplifies documentation for projects that are pursuing both certifications at the same time or that have already earned one certification and are looking to add the other.

K-12 Schools | Apr 18, 2023

ASHRAE offers indoor air quality guide for schools

The American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) has released a guide for educators, administrators, and school districts on indoor air quality. The guide can be used as a tool to discuss options to improve indoor air quality based on existing HVAC equipment, regional objectives, and available funding.

Data Centers | Apr 14, 2023

JLL's data center outlook: Cloud computing, AI driving exponential growth for data center industry

According to JLL’s new Global Data Center Outlook, the mass adoption of cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) is driving exponential growth for the data center industry, with hyperscale and edge computing leading investor demand.

Healthcare Facilities | Apr 13, 2023

Healthcare construction costs for 2023

Data from Gordian breaks down the average cost per square foot for a three-story hospital across 10 U.S. cities.

Higher Education | Apr 13, 2023

Higher education construction costs for 2023

Fresh data from Gordian breaks down the average cost per square foot for a two-story college classroom building across 10 U.S. cities.

K-12 Schools | Apr 13, 2023

Creating a sense of place with multipurpose K-12 school buildings

Multipurpose buildings serve multiple program and functional requirements. The issue with many of these spaces is that they tend not to do any one thing well.

Currently Reading

Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Tags

Design Innovation Report | Apr 19, 2023

Metals | Apr 19, 2023

Airports | Apr 18, 2023

Resiliency | Apr 18, 2023

Green | Apr 18, 2023

K-12 Schools | Apr 18, 2023

Data Centers | Apr 14, 2023

Healthcare Facilities | Apr 13, 2023

Higher Education | Apr 13, 2023

K-12 Schools | Apr 13, 2023

Most Popular Content

Magazine Subscription

Get our Newsletters

Follow BD+C: