Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Propelled by increasing economic optimism, commercial real estate industry executives say geographic expansion will be a key focus over the coming year, according to a recent survey conducted by KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm.

In the 2013 KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey, 58 percent of executives said they expect their company to increase spending most on geographic expansion, up from 21 percent in last year’s survey and 11 percent from KPMG’s 2011 survey.

In the United States, executives most frequently cited the Southwest (45 percent) and the Northeast (36 percent) regions as the best commercial real estate investment opportunities. Latin America (32 percent) and Asia Pacific (21 percent) were identified as the top real estate investment opportunities outside of the United States.

“Market expansion is an important focus for commercial real estate executives as they strive to grow the top line,” said Greg Williams, national leader of KPMG LLP’s Real Estate practice. “Domestically, the Southwest and Northeast are attractive markets because they are experiencing higher job and economic growth and thus have experienced a faster recovery, with property prices in select sub-markets within these regions at or above pre-recession levels.”

Development Trends

When asked how much new development is expected to commence in the United States in 2014, multi-family was identified as the top sector with 43 percent of respondents expecting “a significant amount” to launch, down from 51 percent in last year’s survey which significantly outpaced other asset classes. Nineteen percent expect a significant amount of development in retail in 2014, up from five percent in last year’s survey, while 18 percent expect a significant amount of development in hospitality, up from seven percent in last year’s survey.

“Multi-family is still the darling, but all sectors are expected to see an increase in new development as access to financing has improved for these projects, and executives are more optimistic about the economy’s growth prospects,” said Williams.

Seventy-two percent of respondents expect the U.S. economy to either moderately or significantly improve over the next year, up from 58 percent in last year’s survey. Additionally, 84 percent said their companies’ revenue increased over the past year, while the same percentage expects it to increase next year as well.

Revenue Drivers

Acquisitions (53 percent), improving real estate fundamentals (44 percent), and geographic expansion (38 percent) were selected as the top three drivers for revenue growth of the respondents’ companies over the next three years. Class A assets in primary markets (48 percent) and development opportunities (25 percent) were identified by commercial real estate executives as the top assets they would be in the market to acquire in the next year.

“While some markets are still stabilizing post-recession, there’s a flight to safety and security, and class A assets in primary markets continue to be the surest bets,” said Phil Marra, Northeast leader of KPMG’s Real Estate practice. “In some cases, however, we are seeing fresh approaches, such as new REITs forming to address opportunities in the single-family-home rental market.”

Twenty-five percent of those surveyed said their organization is finding an ample supply of quality properties that can deliver a sufficient return at reasonable prices, with another 60 percent saying their organization is not able to find quality properties at reasonable prices.

“Given that pricing is critical to producing sufficient yields, executives are being very selective as the availability of distressed assets has slowed,” added Marra.

Pricing pressures (32 percent), lack of customer demand (30 percent), and regulatory and legislative pressure (24 percent) were cited as the most significant growth barriers over the next year.

Political and Regulatory Uncertainty

When asked to identify the issues posing the biggest threat to business models, 40 percent of executives indicated political and regulatory uncertainty as their top concern. Thirty-three percent of respondents said they did not know how evolving Federal tax policy would impact their organization’s business strategy, while 27 percent said it would decrease their capital investment. Additionally, 67 percent said that their company was only somewhat prepared to proactively manage the impact of public policy and regulatory changes.

“The political and regulatory environment continues to pose challenges and uncertainty,” said Williams. “To maximize their success, organizations should assess how potential regulations and tax policy changes will impact their businesses, and proactively manage those impacts.”

The KPMG Commercial Real Estate Outlook Survey

The KPMG survey was completed in spring of 2013 and reflects the responses of 100 senior executives in the commercial real estate industry. Based on revenue in the most recent fiscal year, 8 percent of respondents work for companies with annual revenues exceeding $10 billion, 36 percent with annual revenues in the $1 billion to $10 billion range, and 56 percent with revenues in the $100 million to $1 billion range.

About KPMG LLP

KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm (www.kpmg.com/us), is the U.S. member firm of KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”). KPMG International’s member firms have 152,000 professionals, including more than 8,600 partners, in 156 countries.

nZero, developer of a real-time carbon accounting and management platform, is offering free carbon emissions assessments for buildings in New York City. The offer is intended to help building owners prepare for the city’s upcoming Local Law 97 reporting requirements and compliance. This law will soon assess monetary fines for buildings with emissions that are in non-compliance.

Office Buildings | Aug 15, 2023

Amount of office space in U.S. is declining for the first time, says JLL

In what is likely a historic first, the amount of office space in the U.S. is forecast to decline in 2023, according to Jones Lang LaSalle. This would be the first net decline according to data going back to 2000, JLL says, and it’s likely the first decline ever.

Fire-Rated Products | Aug 14, 2023

Free download: Fire-rated glazing 101 technical guide from the National Glass Association

The National Glass Association (NGA) is pleased to announce the publication of a new technical resource, Fire-Rated Glazing 101. This five-page document addresses how to incorporate fire-rated glazing systems in a manner that not only provides protection to building occupants from fire, but also considers other design goals, such as daylight, privacy and security.

Office Buildings | Aug 14, 2023

The programmatic evolution of the lobby

Ian Reves, Managing Director for IA's Atlanta studio, shares how design can shape a lobby into an office mainstay.

Contractors | Aug 14, 2023

Fast-tracking construction projects offers both risk and reward

Understanding both the rewards and risk of fast-tracking a project can help owners, architects, engineers, and contractors maximize the benefits of this strategy and can bring great reward on all fronts when managed properly.

MFPRO+ New Projects | Aug 10, 2023

Atlanta’s Old Fourth Ward gets a 21-story, 162-unit multifamily residential building

East of downtown Atlanta, a new residential building called Signal House will provide the city with 162 units ranging from one to three bedrooms. Located on the Atlanta BeltLine, a former railway corridor, the 21-story building is part of the latest phase of Ponce City Market, a onetime Sears building and now a mixed-use complex.

Office Buildings | Aug 10, 2023

Bjarke Ingels Group and Skanska to deliver 1550 on the Green, one of the most sustainable buildings in Texas

In downtown Houston, Skanska USA’s 1550 on the Green, a 28-story, 375,000-sf office tower, aims to be one of Texas’ most sustainable buildings. The $225 million project has deployed various sustainable building materials, such as less carbon-intensive cement, to target 60% reduced embodied carbon.

The main lobby of the Regions Inpatient Mental Health Center third floor features intentional design elements

Healthcare Facilities | Aug 10, 2023

The present and future of crisis mental health design

BWBR principal Melanie Baumhover sat down with the firm’s behavioral and mental health designers to talk about how intentional design can play a role in combatting the crisis.

Reeja Shrestha, a second-year student pursuing a combined bachelor’s and master’s degree in architecture and design at Howard University, has been selected as the first recipient of the Hoffmann Diversity Advancement Scholarship.

Architects | Aug 10, 2023

Hoffmann Architects + Engineers awards first Diversity Advancement Scholarship to Reeja Shrestha of Howard University

Now in its inaugural year, the Hoffmann Scholarship was established in collaboration with the Connecticut Architecture Foundation (CAF) to support students from underrepresented racial or ethnic groups who are seeking degrees in architecture or engineering.

Senior Living Design | Aug 7, 2023

Putting 9 senior living market trends into perspective

Brad Perkins, FAIA, a veteran of more than four decades in the planning and design of senior living communities, looks at where the market is heading in the immediate future.

Currently Reading

Commercial real estate execs eye multifamily, retail sectors for growth, says KPMG report

Tags

Sustainability | Aug 15, 2023

Office Buildings | Aug 15, 2023

Fire-Rated Products | Aug 14, 2023

Office Buildings | Aug 14, 2023

Contractors | Aug 14, 2023

MFPRO+ New Projects | Aug 10, 2023

Office Buildings | Aug 10, 2023

Healthcare Facilities | Aug 10, 2023

Architects | Aug 10, 2023

Senior Living Design | Aug 7, 2023

Most Popular Content

Magazine Subscription

Get our Newsletters

Follow BD+C: