The majority of commercial and industrial contractors are confident about sales growth, profits and staffing levels heading into 2018, according to the latest Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) Construction Confidence Index (CCI). Despite rising construction labor and materials costs, 55% of contractors expect their profit margins to expand in the first half of 2018.
“There are many reasons for confidence among the nation’s construction firm leaders,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “American wealth has never been greater in absolute terms as the economy experiences faster wage growth, surging equity markets and rising home values. Consumer confidence is at a 17-year high, while unemployment is at a 17-year low.
“Despite the completion of approximately eight and a half years of economic recovery, both inflation and interest rates remain low,” said Basu. “The combination of elevated wealth and confidence with low borrowing costs drives spending and investment, which supports higher demand for construction services.”
All three diffusion indices in the survey remain above the threshold of 50, which signals ongoing optimism.
The CCI for sales expectations fell from 59.7 to 57;
The CCI for profit margin expectations fell from 56 to 53.5;
The CCI for staffing levels fell from 59.5 to 56.7.
In recent quarters, certain commercial segments have been prone to generate especially large increases in construction spending. These include lodging, office and amusement/recreation. Therefore, commercial contractors are particularly upbeat. Contractors whose businesses rely more heavily on public work remain less ebullient.
The following chart reflects the distribution of responses to ABC’s most recent surveys.
Related Stories
Market Data | Feb 9, 2021
USGBC top 10 states for LEED in 2020
The Top 10 States for LEED green building is based on gross square feet of certified space per person using 2010 U.S. Census data and includes commercial and institutional projects certified in 2020.
Market Data | Feb 8, 2021
Construction employment stalls in January with unemployment rate of 9.4%
New measures threaten to undermine recovery.
Market Data | Feb 4, 2021
Construction employment declined in 2020 in majority of metro areas
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land and Brockton-Bridgewater-Easton, Mass. have worst 2020 losses, while Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind. and Walla Walla, Wash. register largest gains in industry jobs.
Market Data | Feb 3, 2021
Construction spending diverges in December with slump in private nonresidential sector, mixed public work, and boom in homebuilding
Demand for nonresidential construction and public works will decline amid ongoing pandemic concerns.
Market Data | Feb 1, 2021
The New York City market is back on top and leads the U.S. hotel construction pipeline
New York City has the greatest number of projects under construction with 108 projects/19,439 rooms.
Market Data | Jan 29, 2021
Multifamily housing construction outlook soars in late 2020
Exceeds pre-COVID levels, reaching highest mark since 1st quarter 2018.
Market Data | Jan 29, 2021
The U.S. hotel construction pipeline stands at 5,216 projects/650,222 rooms at year-end 2020
At the end of Q4 ‘20, projects currently under construction stand at 1,487 projects/199,700 rooms.
Multifamily Housing | Jan 27, 2021
2021 multifamily housing outlook: Dallas, Miami, D.C., will lead apartment completions
In its latest outlook report for the multifamily rental market, Yardi Matrix outlined several reasons for hope for a solid recovery for the multifamily housing sector in 2021, especially during the second half of the year.
Market Data | Jan 26, 2021
Construction employment in December trails pre-pandemic levels in 34 states
Texas and Vermont have worst February-December losses while Virginia and Alabama add the most.
Market Data | Jan 19, 2021
Architecture Billings continue to lose ground
The pace of decline during December accelerated from November.