Starts of structures with five or more residential units increased by 28.6% in September, compared to the same month a year ago, to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 454,000, according to preliminary estimates that the Census Bureau released this morning.
Multifamily starts accounted for 37.6% of total annualized housing starts of 1.206 million, which were up 17.5% in September. However, single-family starts rose by only 12%, meaning that multifamily continues to be the engine powering the housing sector’s ongoing recovery and growth.
Census’s latest estimates would explain rising levels of home builder confidence. NAHB Economics yesterday released its monthly NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October, which at 64 was the highest it’s been since October 2005.
“With firm job creation, economic growth and the release of pent-up demand, we expect housing to keep moving forward as we start to close out 2015,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders.
The big question, then, is how much fuel does multifamily construction have in its tank before it slows down, or before supply reaches equilibrium with demand?
One sign that this might be happening already is evident in Census’s estimates for building permits issued. Year to date, multifamily permits were up in September by 18.6%. However, multifamily permits were actually down 1.3% when compared with September 2014.
In addition, Dodge Data & Analytics notes that the value of multifamily construction fell 30% in September from August. “There were just two projects valued at $100 million or more that reached groundbreaking in September: a $132 million apartment building in New York, N.Y., and a $119 million residential tower in Seattle,” Dodge noted in an October 19 release. “This compares to eight multifamily projects valued at $100 million or more that reached groundbreaking in August, and 16 such projects that were entered as July starts.”
Dodge identified New York, Miami, Los Angeles, Washington D.C., and Boston as the top five metros ranked by the dollar amount of their multifamily starts.
Multifamily completions in September were up 20.4%, compared to a year ago, to 378,000 units, according to Census estimates.
Related Stories
Multifamily Housing | Dec 15, 2016
Multifamily tower in St. Louis uses stacked design to make every apartment a corner unit
Designed by Studio Gang, the building’s stacked tiers will each comprise four floors and fan outwards as they rise up.
Multifamily Housing | Dec 12, 2016
BIG’s first residential condominium in the U.S. completed in Miami
Two 20-story twisting towers comprise 98 units on a three-acre site near Biscayne Bay.
Multifamily Housing | Dec 1, 2016
One of Canada’s largest media companies dives into real estate development
Rogers moves forward on M City, a multi-building, multi-year project in a Toronto suburb.
Multifamily Housing | Nov 28, 2016
Axiometrics predicts apartment deliveries will peak by mid 2017
New York is projected to lead the nation next year, thanks to construction delays in 2016
Sponsored | Multifamily Housing | Nov 11, 2016
Value engineering brings Santa Barbara apartments back on track
When framing estimates for a new apartment complex in Rialto, California, came in too high, a savvy developer decided to have the project value engineered. A switch to glulam and wood-framed shear walls got the project back in the black.
Adaptive Reuse | Nov 9, 2016
Middle school transformed into affordable housing for seniors
The project received $3.8 million in public financing in exchange for constructing units for residents earning less than 60 percent of the area’s median income.
Multifamily Housing | Oct 28, 2016
Aston Martin is making a foray into real estate in Miami
The British automaker will partner with G and G Business Developments on the waterfront project.
Multifamily Housing | Oct 25, 2016
The Beacon will become the most sustainable residential tower in the world
Lumiere Developments says the building will generate enough energy to offer residents ‘Free Energy For Life.’
High-rise Construction | Sep 8, 2016
Construction on the tallest residential tower in western Europe could start early next year
China’s Greenland Group is the developer of four of the world’s 10 largest skyscrapers
High-rise Construction | Sep 6, 2016
Peddle Thorp Architects' solar-powered Melbourne high-rise looks to go off the grid
The skyscraper would be the first in Australia to incorporate solar cells in its façade.