Starts of structures with five or more residential units increased by 28.6% in September, compared to the same month a year ago, to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 454,000, according to preliminary estimates that the Census Bureau released this morning.
Multifamily starts accounted for 37.6% of total annualized housing starts of 1.206 million, which were up 17.5% in September. However, single-family starts rose by only 12%, meaning that multifamily continues to be the engine powering the housing sector’s ongoing recovery and growth.
Census’s latest estimates would explain rising levels of home builder confidence. NAHB Economics yesterday released its monthly NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October, which at 64 was the highest it’s been since October 2005.
“With firm job creation, economic growth and the release of pent-up demand, we expect housing to keep moving forward as we start to close out 2015,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders.
The big question, then, is how much fuel does multifamily construction have in its tank before it slows down, or before supply reaches equilibrium with demand?
One sign that this might be happening already is evident in Census’s estimates for building permits issued. Year to date, multifamily permits were up in September by 18.6%. However, multifamily permits were actually down 1.3% when compared with September 2014.
In addition, Dodge Data & Analytics notes that the value of multifamily construction fell 30% in September from August. “There were just two projects valued at $100 million or more that reached groundbreaking in September: a $132 million apartment building in New York, N.Y., and a $119 million residential tower in Seattle,” Dodge noted in an October 19 release. “This compares to eight multifamily projects valued at $100 million or more that reached groundbreaking in August, and 16 such projects that were entered as July starts.”
Dodge identified New York, Miami, Los Angeles, Washington D.C., and Boston as the top five metros ranked by the dollar amount of their multifamily starts.
Multifamily completions in September were up 20.4%, compared to a year ago, to 378,000 units, according to Census estimates.
Related Stories
Multifamily Housing | Nov 5, 2019
The Collective Paper Factory is the co-living company’s first U.S. location
The building offers a stay model ranging from one night to 29 days.
Multifamily Housing | Nov 4, 2019
A historic ice cream factory now provides Milwaukee with affordable housing
Thanks to projects like this, the Lindsay Heights neighborhood is definitely on the upswing.
Multifamily Housing | Oct 31, 2019
Soltra at SanTan Village breaks ground in Arizona
Todd & Associates designed the project.
| Oct 30, 2019
James McHugh Construction breaks ground on 1000M, Michigan Avenue’s tallest tower to be
McHugh will start work on the 832-foot-tall residential 1000M tower in December 2019.
| Oct 30, 2019
The Beach Company acquires land for multifamily community in Chattanooga
River Rock project will add 163 apartments near the Tennessee River in Chattanooga’s downtown riverfront district.
Multifamily Housing | Oct 30, 2019
Techno-magnet: Multifamily development attracts top tech workers, students
Proto Kendall Square is wooing grad students and millennial STEM workers from what’s arguably ‘the most innovative square mile on the planet.’
Multifamily Housing | Oct 25, 2019
Chicago’s long-gestating luxury condo tower nears construction
Helmut Jahn designed the project.
Multifamily Housing | Oct 24, 2019
Webster Green brings affordable and supportive housing to the Bronx
Magnusson Architecture and Planning designed the building.
| Oct 22, 2019
Ben Seager, AIA, Named KTGY’s New 75+ Service-Enriched National Practice Area Leader
Ben Seager, AIA, Named KTGY’s New 75+ Service-Enriched National Practice Area Leader
Multifamily Housing | Oct 17, 2019
Development enlivens a city on Texas’ Gulf Coast
Three mixed-use communities in Port Aransas are expanding.