Starts of structures with five or more residential units increased by 28.6% in September, compared to the same month a year ago, to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 454,000, according to preliminary estimates that the Census Bureau released this morning.
Multifamily starts accounted for 37.6% of total annualized housing starts of 1.206 million, which were up 17.5% in September. However, single-family starts rose by only 12%, meaning that multifamily continues to be the engine powering the housing sector’s ongoing recovery and growth.
Census’s latest estimates would explain rising levels of home builder confidence. NAHB Economics yesterday released its monthly NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October, which at 64 was the highest it’s been since October 2005.
“With firm job creation, economic growth and the release of pent-up demand, we expect housing to keep moving forward as we start to close out 2015,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders.
The big question, then, is how much fuel does multifamily construction have in its tank before it slows down, or before supply reaches equilibrium with demand?
One sign that this might be happening already is evident in Census’s estimates for building permits issued. Year to date, multifamily permits were up in September by 18.6%. However, multifamily permits were actually down 1.3% when compared with September 2014.
In addition, Dodge Data & Analytics notes that the value of multifamily construction fell 30% in September from August. “There were just two projects valued at $100 million or more that reached groundbreaking in September: a $132 million apartment building in New York, N.Y., and a $119 million residential tower in Seattle,” Dodge noted in an October 19 release. “This compares to eight multifamily projects valued at $100 million or more that reached groundbreaking in August, and 16 such projects that were entered as July starts.”
Dodge identified New York, Miami, Los Angeles, Washington D.C., and Boston as the top five metros ranked by the dollar amount of their multifamily starts.
Multifamily completions in September were up 20.4%, compared to a year ago, to 378,000 units, according to Census estimates.
Related Stories
Multifamily Housing | May 19, 2015
Zaha Hadid unveils 'interlocking lattice' design for luxury apartments in Monterrey, Mexico
Hadid's scheme was inspired by the Mexican tradition of interlocking lattice geometries.
Multifamily Housing | May 19, 2015
Study: Urban land use policies costs U.S. economy $1.6 trillion a year
The research contends that more affordable housing options can help cities generate significantly more income.
Multifamily Housing | May 17, 2015
New York City runs into affordable housing dilemma
New York City’s affordable housing policy has created attractive low-cost housing, but the price of success has been high.
Sponsored | Coatings | May 14, 2015
Prismatic coatings accent the new Altara Center
This multi-use campus will contain a university, sports facilities, medical center, and world-class shopping
High-rise Construction | May 6, 2015
Two new designs submitted for New York City Riverside Center
Both designs reference the cantilevers and other elements featured in architect Christian de Portzamparc’s original masterplan for the complex, which has now been scrapped.
High-rise Construction | May 6, 2015
Parks in the sky? Subterranean bike paths? Meet the livable city, designed in 3D
Today’s great cities must be resilient—and open—to many things, including the influx of humanity, writes Gensler co-CEO Andy Cohen.
Mixed-Use | May 5, 2015
Miami ‘innovation district’ will have 6.5 million sf of dense, walkable space
Designing a neighborhood from the ground-up, developers aim to create a dense, walkable district that fulfills what is lacking from Miami’s current auto-dependent layout.
Codes and Standards | May 1, 2015
Colorado House kills construction defects bill
The legislation would have made it harder for condo owners to sue builders.
Multifamily Housing | May 1, 2015
Trade groups extend campaign to promote apartment living
The groups claim that there are more than 37 million Americans—12% of the population—living in just under 20 million apartment units nationwide. Apartments and their residents contribute $1.3 trillion annually to the economy.
Multifamily Housing | Apr 28, 2015
Masdar City: Construction on sustainable residential complex begins
The planned city’s new residences will help support Abu Dhabi’s rapid population growth.
